• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Atlantic

Atlantic

Member
Messages
2,457
Reaction score
4,302
Location
Virigina
Since it appears no further storms will form for the 2025 season right now (barring post-season subtropical action), it looks like the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season is just about done and over with.

I am starting the 2026 season thread now with a brief overview of what could happen next season climate-wise.

We are in a weak second-year La Niña as of now, but NOAA expects it to be short-lived, with a likely possibility that we see ENSO-neutral by springtime 2026. Models suggest we could see a warm neutral or an El Niño by the time we get into the season, however that is very long range and is subject to change, which it likely will.

2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season names
IMG_0955.jpeg​
Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gonzalo
Hanna
Isaias
Josephine
Kyle
Leah*
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paulette
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred

* Leah replaces Laura from the 2020 season after Laura caused devastating destruction in Louisiana in late August 2020
 
I want to throw my extremely early predictions out for the future season.

Here is what I am thinking right now:

11-17 named storms
4-8 hurricanes
2-4 major hurricanes
 
My prediction numbers for January (I forgot to do my December prediction)

13 named storms
6 hurricanes
2 major hurricanes

My numbers are low at this point in time due to the possibility of El Niño and the fact that we are still five months out from the official start of the season. Should models trend more favorable for the Atlantic in the coming months, I will gradually raise my numbers, however if they trend more unfavorable, I will lower my numbers.
 
Can mods unpin the 2025 season thread and pin this one up?
 
Atlantic said:
My prediction numbers for January (I forgot to do my December prediction)

13 named storms
6 hurricanes
2 major hurricanes

My numbers are low at this point in time due to the possibility of El Niño and the fact that we are still five months out from the official start of the season. Should models trend more favorable for the Atlantic in the coming months, I will gradually raise my numbers, however if they trend more unfavorable, I will lower my numbers.
Click to expand...
I did not do February or March predictions because I got lazy, but I’ll be doing my April predictions now for the record.

12 Named Storms (range 8-16 Named Storms)

6 Hurricanes (range 3-9 Hurricanes)

3 Major Hurricanes (range 2-4 Major Hurricanes)

Models continue to be on board with El Niño development later in the year, but when the El Niño develops and couples with the atmosphere will determine the degree of which the Atlantic will be active later this year.
 
Should get our first tropical development in the Atlantic (Gulf or off SE U.S. coast) next month. It started with the formation of now Typhoon Jangmi forming in Phase 6 of the MJO. The MJO is on the move and expectation is we'll be in Phase 8 by early June.
 
Here's the links to me explaining the setup for the June Atlantic tropical system:
Part 1:
Part 2:
Part 3:
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top