Models depict a strong and fast eastward moving Kelvin wave from the Indian Ocean to Africa over the next two weeks. This increases chances of tropical cyclone formation in the time period. The GFS has been showing development in the east Pacific first and then near the the Yucatán Peninsula/ Caribbean Sea.
The 12z GFS wind gusts swath and the 18z GFS output. Now granted the GFS may be off it's rocker with the central pressure/intensity, but the idea of another early season May tropical development is increasing. Looking back at past hurricane years, the only known hurricane which was a reanalysis done by Michael Chenoweth and Cary Mock back in 2013 was Hurricane "Amanda" in 1863. Made landfall in the Florida panhandle. This is the only hurricane to form in the Gulf and make landfall on the Gulf Coast in the month of May.
The GFS remaining consistent on development. Look for surface pressures to start falling on Thursday in the southern Caribbean sea and transfer towards off the coast of Belize. There are a few other models showing more consolidated surface pressure there come next weekend.