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2/19/26- 2/20/26 - severe threat discussion

Tornado threat was meant to decrease but only seems like it's been increasing this past hour. If these supercells can mature as well in this low instability regime, I don't wanna be too bullish but you could still see sigtors if what happened 10 mins ago isn't any indication

BTW that is clearing out its inflow notch AGAIN east of Bloomington. Not a good night.
 
A better question is what was the max VROT on that?
I got 88 knots (58 mph+88 mph/2=102 mph; 88 kts) but that's also my first time ever trying to calculate it so it's probably wrong. Per the Alex J. Lamers graphic that's in the >85 knot, or "violent" range.
 
Appears to be from a troll account. And a reply claims it is from a year ago. Looks like they reeled in a CNN producer.


This looks a lot (suspiciously similar) like the March 14, 2025 Chesterfield-St. Louis area EF2. Wouldn’t be surprised if it was.
 
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