• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Hurricane Melissa

Melissa's current pressure: 967mbar
18z HWRF initialization: 975mb
18z HMON: 975mb
18z HAFS-A: 975mb
18z HAFS-B: 977mb
Bad sign when even the hurricane models are off.
 
Are forecasts still confident Melissa will go nowhere near the eastern Gulf even if she pumps the ridge?
Yes. This is not getting in the Gulf. This current frontal system moving through tonight/tomorrow will keep that from happening
 
I don't see any reason, except for some unknown variable, why Melissa should not be at or nearing Category 5 first thing tomorrow morning.
 
Back
Top