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Hurricane Melissa

the models r not initializing well at all hence why nhc has been going above them, p much all the google ai thing models show it going c5 I mean litteral lot tub, moving at 1mph is just a combo not seen often and not one thats prefered, has all the time to get set up to fight shear and explode so its gonna go ham and time isn't much of an if cuz its damn near stationary
 
tornado examiner said:
Storm will not have an easy time at all.
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I'm not sure I would go that far - that's one variable that's not 100% in her favor at this moment, but all the other variables are off the charts fabulous for her.

EDIT: I very much hope you are right though - I am cheering for the shear.
 
I’m going to go with a blend of Dvorak estimates and say the NHC will likely go 80 kts for the 5pm advisory. I averaged the estimates out and I got T#4.5, which is 77 kts.

I think they will put 80 kts/974 mb as the intensity
 
N0mz said:
Where can I find the recon schedule?
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Go to the NHC site and go under “Data & Tools”

Speaking of recon, a place is enroute to Melissa after this morning’s mission abruptly ended due to some unknown problems.
 
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