Both the GFS and ECMWF have been showing some potential for tropical development in the western Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week. It was mentioned in the 2 pm TWO from NHC (20% chance of development in 5 days): An area of low pressure could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur as the low moves slowly northward. If this system does develop, it could bring additional rainfall to portions of the Texas and Louisiana coasts. However, any rainfall forecast is uncertain at this time range and it is too soon to determine any specific impacts. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system for the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.