Severe WX Severe Wx Outbreak March 1st- 3rd, 2023 - Southern States, MS/OH/TN Valley

[TornadoFan]

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Is anyone else suddenly getting the Observed Sounding Archive page when they try to go to the SPC home page?

 

[TheSuckZone]

Is anyone else suddenly getting the Observed Sounding Archive page when they try to go to the SPC home page?

In the box in the bottom left on the map? Yes

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[CheeselandSkies]

In the box in the bottom left on the map? Yes

It was a bug in Firefox on my computer. Going to it on MS Edge works normally for me.

 

[Clancy]

Of all things to be a failure mode in early March, too warm mid-level temps are not what you would pick (referring to GA for tomorrow).

Truly a Georgia moment.

 

[Austin Dawg]

Hello hail core

 

[TornadoFan]

Brandon Ivey is heading towards the Decatur storm.

 

[tornado examiner]

Could Friday potentially be worse than today tornado wise?

 

[Former Member 1430]

Could Friday potentially be worse than today tornado wise?

Yes, and I would say particularly in the Tennessee valley into KY area

 

[tornado examiner]

Yes, and I would say particularly in the Tennessee valley into KY area

I’ve seen some latest hrrr runs and things seem to have moderately uptrended

 

[ColdFront]

Could Friday potentially be worse than today tornado wise?

There are some boxes being checked for Friday. Georgia had some insane and dangerous parameters tomorrow but as others have noted the mid levels are a failure mode, I think I have more questions than answers on the setup for tomorrow.

 

[TornadoFan]

Tornado watch coming.

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 229

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[tornado examiner]

There are some boxes being checked for Friday. Georgia had some insane and dangerous parameters tomorrow but as others have noted the mid levels are a failure mode, I think I have more questions than answers on the setup for tomorrow.

Isn’t that just in Georgia?

 

[TornadoFan]

Mesoscale Discussion 0229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 PM CST Thu Mar 02 2023

Areas affected...much of northern Texas and southeast Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 022038Z - 022315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms will continue to increase in coverage near a warm
front over north Texas, with additional storms moving in from the
west along the cold front. Tornadoes, some strong, damaging wind and
hail will all be possible.

DISCUSSION...The air mass continues to destabilize across north TX
where warm front exists. Given the uncapped air mass and multiple
boundaries, storm coverage will likely increase over the next
several hours. Locally backed flow along the warm front as well as
increasing low-level winds this evening with the approaching upper
trough may yield several tornadoes, damaging winds and hail.

 

[Austin Dawg]

There are discrete cells trying to start up in front of that dry line coming out of Abilene and San Angelo.

 

[Jpgood97]

Weather nerds panicking the general public


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[ColdFront]

Isn’t that just in Georgia?

Yes, and Eastern Alabama.

I will admit, that last long range HRRR broken line run look over KY and TN was spooky. I guess the biggest question marks there will be instability, some of the wind profiles over KY are insane, but because of instability(or lack thereof) I still think that’s more of a QLCS that goes through KY.

 

[Former Member 1430]

Weather nerds panicking the general public


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

You do realize that the parameters are in place that if storms are able to fire that they are not unnecessarily panicking people here with those STP values. If the mid levels are not as warm as projected, we are going to have big issues.

 

[ColdFront]

Weather nerds panicking the general public


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I don’t see anything wrong with what they posted.