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Severe WX April 4th-6th, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

The Allendale tornado had a satellite tornado at one point.
Screenshot_20220406-093237.jpg
I will say that it was an absolutely massive looking tornado with violent looking radar returns (and satellite tornadoes are rarer outside of intense tornadoes), so the relative lack of damage reports is a surprise. Hopefully this tornado was more bark than bite, or maybe there's something we haven't seen yet? I know it did destroy a few mobile homes and unroof some others but that's about it.
 
TH2002 said:
The Allendale tornado had a satellite tornado at one point.
View attachment 13258
I will say that it was an absolutely massive looking tornado with violent looking radar returns (and satellite tornadoes are rarer outside of intense tornadoes), so the relative lack of damage reports is a surprise. Hopefully this tornado was more bark than bite, or maybe there's something we haven't seen yet? I know it did destroy a few mobile homes and unroof some others but that's about it.
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Is it possible it managed to not hit any houses or other structures when at peak intensity? Maybe while it was over open fields or a forest.
 
HRRR model forecast tracks of rotating storms from 3pm-7pm..
 

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We must be under a cap up here. Just took the dog for a walk, and even with a breeze, with the sun and humidity, it's hot! I know the conditions aren't the same, but the way it feels outside and the way the sky looks, remind me of April 8, 1998 and Nov. 10, 2002. Nothing scientific, just memory. But SPC shows the worst south of us, so I don't know.
 
MichelleH said:
We must be under a cap up here. Just took the dog for a walk, and even with a breeze, with the sun and humidity, it's hot! I know the conditions aren't the same, but the way it feels outside and the way the sky looks, remind me of April 8, 1998 and Nov. 10, 2002. Nothing scientific, just memory. But SPC shows the worst south of us, so I don't know.
Click to expand...
Per the 10 AM AFD from BMX, it would seem so.
The KBMX 12z sounding observed drier air aloft with a cap
above 750mb. As we get more daytime heating we should be able to
overcome that cap with time, then the question becomes the amount
of upper level dynamics available to support organized severe
storm structures.
Click to expand...
 
MichelleH said:
We must be under a cap up here. Just took the dog for a walk, and even with a breeze, with the sun and humidity, it's hot! I know the conditions aren't the same, but the way it feels outside and the way the sky looks, remind me of April 8, 1998 and Nov. 10, 2002. Nothing scientific, just memory. But SPC shows the worst south of us, so I don't know.
Click to expand...

As Clancy posted right above me, fortunately there's not a ton of upper air support today to go along with the ample surface moisture.
 
Very warm and muggy in Warrior. Sun has been coming out. Getting breezy. Line of rain popped up just South of here and was moving SE so it still hasn't rained here.
 
7D00B520-7082-4C03-A120-B162BD1CFACA.jpg
A couple of cells in Southeast AL near southwest GA..
 
Look out for any boundaries that interact with cells on the cold front in AL. Anywhere you can get locally enhanced low level SRH, you can get significant tornadoes with this level of instability.

I'm really curious for what happens in GA, where we know some of those boundaries are already present.
 
These cells ahead of the boundary are riding along a gravity wave/outflow boundary…this could be our shear starter…
 
Tornado Watch for Central GA.

 
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