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Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

We currently have a potentially violent tornado in progress. Let's talk about Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency stuff later.
 
Matthew70 said:
When this is over I think a thread about discussing it and expectations would be great. To me it was a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency and no disrespect to those hurt and killed and lost everything. I will say this. 2 high risks and not one major tornado in MS. Memphis has been Moderate and high risk and not 1 warning in last 2 weeks. My thoughts and prayers are with those that have lost loved ones and homes.
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I think it is more than fair to say the high Atmospheric Anti-Climax today, at least the initial outlook. If it had been placed across central AL it would’ve easily verified
 
Matthew70 said:
When this is over I think a thread about discussing it and expectations would be great. To me it was a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency and no disrespect to those hurt and killed and lost everything. I will say this. 2 high risks and not one major tornado in MS. Memphis has been Moderate and high risk and not 1 warning in last 2 weeks. My thoughts and prayers are with those that have lost loved ones and homes.
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You're right. It's a discussion for another time. But, as I previously stated, 04/27 has inured us to what a tornado outbreak and a moderate/high risk should produce.

People need to understand that 04/27 is not something that's going to happen every other severe wx threat. I grew up with the original Super Outbreak being an event that few thought would ever be repeated. It took nearly 40 years, but it happened again. What we're seeing right now is absolutely what you'd expect given the SPC forecast.
 
Evan said:
You're right. It's a discussion for another time. But, as I previously stated, 04/27 has inured us to what a tornado outbreak and a moderate/high risk should produce.

People need to understand that 04/27 is not something that's going to happen every other severe wx threat. I grew up with the original Super Outbreak being an event that few thought would ever be repeated. It took nearly 40 years, but it happened again. What we're seeing right now is absolutely what you'd expect given the SPC forecast.
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Totally agree. I just believe SPC uses high risk and moderate way to often anymore.
 
Rotation still looking strong. Can't tell if there's a CC drop though. Would guess yes.
 
Update: That thing missed my friend by probably 1/2 mile or less to his south. The cc drop went pretty much overhead of him.

Damage at his area is small trees and limbs down.

Local news reports Newnan High School damaged
 
New SPC MD regarding tornado threat in ATL Metro.
 
Jacob said:
Looking at it from TATL instead of KFFC, I don’t think my statement is correct. Don’t really see signs of it cycling from there
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I will maintain what I've said in other threads over the past few years. One of the biggest failures of American government over the past 25 years is that we don't have triple (or more) the number of WSR-88D sites that we currently have. I know phased array is coming, but we should've been adding WSR-88Ds sites to fill in all coverage gaps and backup sites in severe prone areas. The cost-benefit ratio is ridiculously in favor of doing so. I'll be a bit ambiguous but I work with fed contracts all the time. The money they waste on stuff is appalling. More radar sites is the biggest no-brainer pay-for-itself kind of missed opportunity I've ever seen. Infuriating.
 
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