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Severe WX Severe Threat 17-18 March 2021

From the latest MD for SE AR/ NE LA/ and much of MS (including high risk area)

" This strong surface heating has led to deep boundary layer mixing (as evident on the 18Z JAN RAOB) and as a result, surface flow has veered southwesterly across much of Mississippi which has reduced low-level directional shear significantly. However, despite this veered low-level flow, a widespread and potentially intense tornado threat is still expected late this afternoon/evening as the surface trough approaches. "

Thoughts on this? Obviously, they still think that strong tornadoes are a threat with this, but how much of an impact would less favorable profiles have?
 
Can somebody with a little more knowledge on it, please give me the low down on what's expected to happen outside of Chattanooga tonight? I live on the mountains outside Dunlap Tennessee. I live in a manufactured home, with no real structure of safety to get to on shorts notice. What say you?
 
WhirlingWx said:
From the latest MD for SE AR/ NE LA/ and much of MS (including high risk area)

" This strong surface heating has led to deep boundary layer mixing (as evident on the 18Z JAN RAOB) and as a result, surface flow has veered southwesterly across much of Mississippi which has reduced low-level directional shear significantly. However, despite this veered low-level flow, a widespread and potentially intense tornado threat is still expected late this afternoon/evening as the surface trough approaches. "

Thoughts on this? Obviously, they still think that strong tornadoes are a threat with this, but how much of an impact would less favorable profiles have?
Click to expand...

They discuss it more further down in the MD, they expect flow to back again with the approach of the surface trough.
 
WhirlingWx said:
From the latest MD for SE AR/ NE LA/ and much of MS (including high risk area)

" This strong surface heating has led to deep boundary layer mixing (as evident on the 18Z JAN RAOB) and as a result, surface flow has veered southwesterly across much of Mississippi which has reduced low-level directional shear significantly. However, despite this veered low-level flow, a widespread and potentially intense tornado threat is still expected late this afternoon/evening as the surface trough approaches. "

Thoughts on this? Obviously, they still think that strong tornadoes are a threat with this, but how much of an impact would less favorable profiles have?
Click to expand...

VBV?
 
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