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Severe WX Severe Threat 17-18 March 2021

Fred Gossage said:
Oh, I was talking about the Easter event last year. That thing ended up ranking #3 in U.S. history, but it gets overlooked as being as widespread as it was because there were only a few violent tornadoes.
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Yes sir, this one as well. It just did not have as many "big" tornadoes as the others. We all know it does not take an F4 or F5 to create havoc on a person's life.
 
Hey all, LONG time lurker here. Thought I'd finally saddle up and create an account. Not so much to contribute to any in depth analysis. More so to offer my services as an amateur weather observation location if you can call it that. I don't imagine that TalkWeather has a lot of coverage in the Carolinas so I'd be more than happy to offer my services letting you guys know conditions on the ground here in the Charlotte, NC area, especially since the Day 4 Outlook might throw some stuff my way. Any other time of the year when we have events I'd be happy to report conditions here as well. Thanks so much to all of you for increasing my weather knowledge over the years. It's been a great ride.
 
I am trying to divide up the day into three risk periods, one in the morning to early afternoon with the initial warm front, the 2nd on mid/late afternoon, and then a 3rd for evening/overnight. This is not easy it looks like at least in western sections, the 2nd and 3rd really becoming muddled up into one long timeframe. If anything, this really shows you how this could be a very long day. Also the 3rd timeframe could be the most serious.
 
A Vague Planet said:
Hey all, LONG time lurker here. Thought I'd finally saddle up and create an account. Not so much to contribute to any in depth analysis. More so to offer my services as an amateur weather observation location if you can call it that. I don't imagine that TalkWeather has a lot of coverage in the Carolinas so I'd be more than happy to offer my services letting you guys know conditions on the ground here in the Charlotte, NC area, especially since the Day 4 Outlook might throw some stuff my way. Any other time of the year when we have events I'd be happy to report conditions here as well. Thanks so much to all of you for increasing my weather knowledge over the years. It's been a great ride.
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Welcome! We are RVing in South Carolina this week, and I am hoping Day 4 does not materialize.
 
Richardjacks said:
I am trying to divide up the day into three risk periods, one in the morning to early afternoon with the initial warm front, the 2nd on mid/late afternoon, and then a 3rd for evening/overnight. This is not easy it looks like at least in western sections, the 2nd and 3rd really becoming muddled up into one long timeframe. If anything, this really shows you how this could be a very long day. Also the 3rd timeframe could be the most serious.
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Potentially a 15+Hr day depending on where you live. If storms initiate in the warm sector as soon as the warm front rises north then you may see back to back to back waves of supercells till the final line comes through near midnight.
 
A Vague Planet said:
Hey all, LONG time lurker here. Thought I'd finally saddle up and create an account. Not so much to contribute to any in depth analysis. More so to offer my services as an amateur weather observation location if you can call it that. I don't imagine that TalkWeather has a lot of coverage in the Carolinas so I'd be more than happy to offer my services letting you guys know conditions on the ground here in the Charlotte, NC area, especially since the Day 4 Outlook might throw some stuff my way. Any other time of the year when we have events I'd be happy to report conditions here as well. Thanks so much to all of you for increasing my weather knowledge over the years. It's been a great ride.
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An official welcome to Talkweather. Glad you signed up.
 
TuscWeathergrl said:
I’ve lurked for years but only post once in a blue moon because I have nothing educated and worth while to say. Just throwing out there that I’m in the Tuscaloosa tornado magnet area and will keep everyone updated on what I see here.
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Good, and we’ll be giving updates here too considering this event has potential to be deadly
 
00Z HRRR shows some more conducive conditions moving further northeast than was shown by the NAM earlier.
1615860143454.png
 
Loop from 00z HRRR for what it's worth

3a3fb6ce-221e-46c5-b0e3-c537f98b62eb.gif
 
Hi everyone! I had kind of forgotten about this forum until someone shared a post on a Discord server earlier today. I had an account here before but I guess it got deleted after awhile. I actually joined on April, 27, 2014 during that outbreak. Back then I was just a junior in high school who liked to think he knew a lot about the weather lol. Since then I've completed undergrad and have a degree in Atmospheric Science from Ohio State and I'm currently in graduate school at FIU for International Disaster Preparedness. I look forward to future communications with y'all.

This event is certainly intriguing though. It's rare to get EMLs this far east and to go with it possibly a pseudo dryline. That typically spells trouble when those ingredients come to place in Dixie Alley.
 
Ingyball said:
Hi everyone! I had kind of forgotten about this forum until someone shared a post on a Discord server earlier today. I had an account here before but I guess it got deleted after awhile. I actually joined on April, 27, 2014 during that outbreak. Back then I was just a junior in high school who liked to think he knew a lot about the weather lol. Since then I've completed undergrad and have a degree in Atmospheric Science from Ohio State and I'm currently in graduate school at FIU for International Disaster Preparedness. I look forward to future communications with y'all.

This event is certainly intriguing though. It's rare to get EMLs this far east and to go with it possibly a pseudo dryline. That typically spells trouble when those ingredients come to place in Dixie Alley.
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Welcome back!

We had a "major malfunction" in 2016 and had to rebuild the site entirely. Everyone had to re-register. Glad you are back.
 
Taylor Campbell said:
00-Z-20210316-HRRRSE-con-uphlysw6-33-48-100-200.gif
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Yikes. Looks like things could get rough in AR/LA before moving into MS/AL/TN. Could also be some open warms sector storms going while there are still tornadic storms going on further west closer to the front. That's one of the calling cards of the higher-end outbreaks, multiple waves of storms that can all be supercellular/tornadic.
 
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