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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

From what I can tell by the current positioning of the warm front -- and its movement -- it's getting very close to Northern Tuscaloosa and Jefferson County, and there appears to be adequate time for it to push another 25-50 miles north before those MS supercells move into the area (if they do).

Thoughts? Do any of you see the warm front continuing to surge north? At least to the point that it makes it another 25-50 miles?
 
Looks like the first tornado is hitting Heidelberg almost directly. That's a bit bigger town than Bassfield and Soso.
 
From what I can tell by the current positioning of the warm front -- and its movement -- it's getting very close to Northern Tuscaloosa and Jefferson County, and there appears to be adequate time for it to push another 25-50 miles north before those MS supercells move into the area (if they do).

Thoughts? Do any of you see the warm front continuing to surge north? At least to the point that it makes it another 25-50 miles?
Yes it should continue northward. That complex is breaking up and is becoming cellular in nature, which will help the LLJ transport the low level airmass northward.
 
From what I can tell by the current positioning of the warm front -- and its movement -- it's getting very close to Northern Tuscaloosa and Jefferson County, and there appears to be adequate time for it to push another 25-50 miles north before those MS supercells move into the area (if they do).

Thoughts? Do any of you see the warm front continuing to surge north? At least to the point that it makes it another 25-50 miles?
Yes. It appears that northern supercell in Walker and Jefferson county is riding the warm front.
 
Jefferson Co tor is wrapped tight....anyone from the area?
 
Storms north and west of Jackson, MS seem to becoming more discrete. East and south of Jackson, MS -- they already are discrete, and look to be developing into the string of pearls that was mentioned earlier. It's not a good trend. At all. SPC also seems to think the tornado risk for North Central AL is increasing.
 
I think the lead tornado dissipated as it reached Pachuta, MS and a new tornado is touching down on the east side of town.
 
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