Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

[Liberty4dayz]

So....if I live on a mountain, outside Dunlap, TN, in a manufactured home...I don't need to worry as much? I'm just learning how to interpret all the data...so...I ask those that know...thanks in advance.

 

[Equus]

Well that escalated fast

 

[Casie]

Brett's stream has some downed trees.

Overturned tractor trailers and mobile homes overturned as well

 

[Kory]

PDS warning on the Macon storm.

That is ugly.

 

[Tennie]

The storm's cycling as it's crossing the MS-AL line.

 

[buckeye05]

I’m more impressed with the southern MS cell at the moment. Not as HP and messy.

 

[TornadoFan]

Strong rotation north of Tylertown, MS.

 

[Evan]

I’m more impressed with the southern MS cell at the moment. Not as HP and messy.

Low level lapse rates are a bit better down there...

 

[TornadoFan]

That southern MS storm is really ramping up quick.

 

[Kory]

Low level lapse rates are a bit better down there...

They've had a lot of insolation down there.

 

[South AL Wx]

BMX has dropped the confirmed wording from the Pickens County TOR for the time being.

 

[Kory]

DISCUSSION...Recent 7 and 9 km CAPPI radar imagery suggests that the
storms across southern/central MS have intensified. It appears that
the low-level inversion present on the 18Z JAN sounding that may
have been hampering robust updraft development has eroded. A surface
warm front has continued to lift northward across parts of central
into northern AL, with a moderately to strongly unstable airmass
present to its south across parts of southern/central MS into AL.
The greatest near-term tornado potential appears to be with a
supercell currently in Noxubee County MS, and continuing downstream
into west-central AL. Low-level flow is backed to southeasterly
along the warm front across this area, with latest mesoanalysis
estimating effective SRH now exceeds 500 m2/s2. A strong tornado may
occur with this supercell given the very strong low-level shear in
the presence of a supercell. Otherwise, all severe hazards remain
possible for the next couple of hours along and downstream of
ongoing convection across southern/central MS. Another strong
tornado also appears possible with a supercell moving from Pike into
Walthall County in southern MS.

 

[Cliffhanger]

So....if I live on a mountain, outside Dunlap, TN, in a manufactured home...I don't need to worry as much? I'm just learning how to interpret all the data...so...I ask those that know...thanks in advance.

If you live in a manufactured home, no matter what kind of terrain it's on, you need to abandon it and seek safe shelter if you are in a tornado warning polygon.

 

[TornadoFan]

Confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado on the ground in southern MS.

 

[sak]

So....if I live on a mountain, outside Dunlap, TN, in a manufactured home...I don't need to worry as much? I'm just learning how to interpret all the data...so...I ask those that know...thanks in advance.

I would say things look better for you than they did 12 hours ago but far, far, far from out of the woods and you should continue to monitor.

 

[Tennie]

Confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado on the ground in southern MS.

Are there any TV station streams for that area?

 

[Evan]

Nasty BWER on the storm in Southern MS.

 

[Equus]

Really concerned about those warm sector supercells. That environment is absolutely disturbing all the way across two states in their path.

 

[akt1985]

Are there any TV station streams for that area?

If it's Hattiesburg, it's NBC affiliate WDAM.

 

[akt1985]

Warm front now north of Birmingham.