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Severe WX Tuesday-Thursday May 7-9th Severe Threat

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Nice cluster of elevated supercells riding along the stationary front. More cells popping along the dryline. The lead cell near Stinnett, TX has been a prolific hail producer.
 
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Honestly I'm surprised that there still aren't any tornado producers yet. That being said there definitely is some decent hail going on (one of the chasers streaming had his windshield cracked).
 
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The tornado threat has to increase in the next hour or two, as low level flow strengthens. Plus, the current convection still seems elevated. Those cells riding along the stationary front have the best chance to become rooted in the surface at the moment.

The Oldham county cell has really organized over the last few scans.
 
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warneagle

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That one west of Amarillo on I-40 has my attention. It’s moving into a STP/VTP bullseye (I know it’s still in beta, but still)
 
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That one west of Amarillo on I-40 has my attention. It’s moving into a STP/VTP bullseye (I know it’s still in beta, but still)
Clearly the best low level rotational signature yet. Which isn't saying much, but definitely much better organized. It's just south of the boundary, and may be interacting with boundaries from the previous cells. Tornado possible was added to the SVR.
 
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IMO, the main show may be the cells north of Lubbock. Should have a good opportunity to become surface based, while low level flow increases this evening.
 
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Storms are beginning to cross the boundary that is sagging South. The Oldham County, TX storm is looking good again as it interacts. The new TOR for Hansford County, TX did the exact same thing and now its confirmed.
 

Evan

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Pecos County storm is a heck of a storm right now.
 
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Evan

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TOG in Ls
Confirmed tornado with that one as well. So two on the ground and one that could produce at any moment

Yep. Not much to hit in that are, but the rotational signature and a suspect CC area led me to believe it was producing. Thankfully the potential risk to life and property should be low in that area.
 

Evan

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Just a classic tornadic supercell reflectivity wise near Pecos. Texas DPS says it was still on the ground as of 5pm.
 
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Evan

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The next few hours are going to be rough in Western Texas. Seems like a pretty decent outbreak is underway.
 

warneagle

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Kind of getting into a radar hole in that far northern part of the panhandle.
 
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