jackhutwx
Member
will illinois ever catch a break?? I'm honestly so done with severe weather, lets just move on to winter and snow. I've been excited about winter for a while now lol
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Severe Weather 2026
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Kds86z
Member
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Quick writeup regarding svr setups this week
IMO, I'm a bit skeptical of a 5% tmrw but there's some reasons.
79/71 according to models in N Indiana with robust low level stretching, subtle dry air aloft and cool enough mid levels to allow for vertical instability. Low level shear will not be particularly strong tomorrow. Supercells fire and may maintain discrete nature for around a hour or two. Isolated tornado or two possible. As storms congeal, profiles will turn very dry, with a damaging wind risk increasing, tornado chances low but not ruled out by this point.
Thursday
Expecting potential for a messier regime of supercells utilising low level stretching + stronger LL shear in NE PA/SE NY. Profiles feature dry air aloft and mid level cooling along with a area of increased 850mb response. Isolated tornado threat a decent likelihood here.
Mesoscale days probable after this mini-sequence. Ensemble guidance isn't strong.
SPC is noting a feature in the D7-8 period however and has had some stronger wording on it but confidence is still too low for any potential outlook.
IMO, I'm a bit skeptical of a 5% tmrw but there's some reasons.
79/71 according to models in N Indiana with robust low level stretching, subtle dry air aloft and cool enough mid levels to allow for vertical instability. Low level shear will not be particularly strong tomorrow. Supercells fire and may maintain discrete nature for around a hour or two. Isolated tornado or two possible. As storms congeal, profiles will turn very dry, with a damaging wind risk increasing, tornado chances low but not ruled out by this point.
Thursday
Expecting potential for a messier regime of supercells utilising low level stretching + stronger LL shear in NE PA/SE NY. Profiles feature dry air aloft and mid level cooling along with a area of increased 850mb response. Isolated tornado threat a decent likelihood here.
Mesoscale days probable after this mini-sequence. Ensemble guidance isn't strong.
SPC is noting a feature in the D7-8 period however and has had some stronger wording on it but confidence is still too low for any potential outlook.
Kds86z
Member
My state been busy, doesn’t feel like it though because nothing near me. More sig tornadoes than a lot of states also. All EF2 though
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Eoline
Member
Absolutely incredible images coming out of Nepal from the flooding last night and today:
This is by a long shot the most violent flooding/mudslide I've ever seen.
This is by a long shot the most violent flooding/mudslide I've ever seen.
Yeah, that video is absolutely staggering; the splashing water/mud easily reaches dozens of meters up into the air.
Eoline
Member
Notice the rocks. What's crazy is this is the exact same angle from the exact same camera 35 seconds after the first one I posted.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Yeah, that video is ridiculous. The way it jsut engulfs everything violently is horrifying and the people trying to run to the best of their ability.
Tim Curry died today on a off topic note, actor from the Rocky Horror Show and Home Alone 2. Ridiculous year celebrity death-wise, man.
Tim Curry died today on a off topic note, actor from the Rocky Horror Show and Home Alone 2. Ridiculous year celebrity death-wise, man.
Eoline
Member
Not sure where else to put this but worth noting that DAT received an (in my opinion terrible-looking) update/UI overhaul a few hours ago.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Eoline
Member
They literally just made it harder to use by making everything clunkier and less visually appealing. Very odd change unless they are purposefully trying to bring back 2018.
The latest DAT update:
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
That's
90% of companies nowadays. Nothing particularly fun about a interface, it's just how clean and boring you can make it. I miss the old times when interfaces actually had a feel and look about them
joshoctober16
Member
supercell in nova scotia canada
N0mz
Member
Looks like a rorsarch test
joshoctober16
Member
it does lol , its cause its spliting into 2.
