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Severe WX Severe Weather 4/24-4/26

Shear/hodograph north of these storms is pretty decent, but elsewhere it's pretty abysmal. Not sure when it'll ramp up or whether latching onto the boundary will overcome that. We'll have to see with time I guess.
 
Back to today:

The cell near Sulphur, OK, seems to be having issues producing. The outflow-related features seem more impressive than the inflow-related features, at least for now. It corrently remains to be seen whether things would change soon, and in which direction, so it would still be a good idea to keep a close eye on this cell.
 
People in New Castle, Indiana, should be taking shelter, as there's a tornado-warned couplet approaching the town right now!
 
If I were a betting man, and there was a polymarket for it, I'd wager we see a High Risk on Monday, centered around the St. Louis-Memphis-Evansville triangle. Perhaps a very large MOD as well, stretching from southern Iowa to Arkansas, back through TN, northern MS/AL,and up through most of IL.

When models progressively increase the parameter space in lockstep like this, 3-4 days before the event, it's a good signal for a potential high risk.

Lots could change but that's where my money is. Just a classic peak season outbreak setup
 
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