It's important to note pattern recognition and i talked to Andy Hill about this and he said most of it is really just pattern recognition and having that instinct when a cell has that "look". That's a great example of it right there. Appreciate it!
Only certain sites can be embedded.
Whoops
Looks like one of the switches is having a bad day and is flapping. I'm going to need about 10 minutes to pull it and replace it. I'm en route now to our site. I'll drop a note before I do it. However, you may see a few more disruptions before I get there.
Well I got here and it was already down again. So I went ahead and changed it out. Should be good now.
Good for Max for developing such a neat tool, but holy $hit talk about absurdly irresponsible execution. This isn't even accurate information either, neither the GFS or ECMWF (the models he's referencing) show numbers even remotely in the same ballpark as what is being presented here (at this location and time). None of this online hype machine has actually made me mad up to this point, but this really does.
On top of that, it doesn’t even show actual risk areas of any of this. So even if all of this was a perfect forecast, it wouldn’t be very useful anyway.
It's a tool where you enter your zip code and it tells you your severe weather "risk". You can see the coordinates for this forecast top left
wait yeah actually looking back at the models, cape values arent even close to those provided, same with srh and stp.
Don't get me wrong. We've got some serious potential for a high-end event here, but this setup is about as boom or bu$t as it gets. In the areas with the most potential it's possible the cap holds and nothing happens at all. In fact, that's the more likely outcome at the moment based on current model guidance. These hype casters are gambling with general public's trust, and they don't even have the courtesy to do it with good odds. They could seriously just wait a day or two, and make these predictions with higher confidence, but they can't go a single day without trying to be the center of every weather event.
