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- #61
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Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12
- Thread starter CheeselandSkies
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- #62
CheeselandSkies
Member
All hail the RRFS A, the new king of supercell printers.
Kds86z
Member
I dont see it on cod. Or https://www.spc.noaa.gov/partners/outlooks/national/
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- #64
CheeselandSkies
Member
CoD site can't display the new hatching at this time for technical reasons. For some reason, the National page appears to be mistakenly displaying tomorrow's Day 3 probabilistic map issued yesterday (at least for me). However, it's at https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html if you hover over the Probabilistic tab.
Jason Mills
Member
Kds86z
Member
Thanks
Kds86z
Member
Thank you
Cyclonic Paracosm
Member
yeah it took a few days but severeweatheroutlook.com got updated with the sig lvls and what not I use that a sI can see all the outlooks in 1 area and if I want details of a certain one I just click it
KakashiHatake2000
Member
Kds86z
Member
Dude what timing. Thanks! Was literally on his YT watching case studies.
KakashiHatake2000
Member
Yeah ikr and same was watching YouTube as well hit subscription page and boom there is was
Kds86z
Member
Weatherguyx
Member
Saw this one posted with no explanation. Can someone please translate.
KakashiHatake2000
Member
Don’t pay any attention to that or the post just one model run but would definitely stay weather aware but take that with a grain of salt
- Thread starter
- #75
CheeselandSkies
Member
Just RRFS A doing RRFS A things as I alluded to earlier. This is the modeled updraft helicity from today's 18Z run.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
I don't think people with a decent reputation in the storm chasing community should be posting classic fearmongering jokes with NO context to them, expecially Jaden Pappenheim. I could expect better from chasers but I don't. Once again, classic example of a cesshole.
The idea of prefrontal convection in IL with a conditional significant tornado threat continues to be monitored. With a strong LLJ and rather impressive instability for this far north in March, it is absolutely worth the watch. I would note it's very similar to a June/July setup with SSE motion.
The idea of prefrontal convection in IL with a conditional significant tornado threat continues to be monitored. With a strong LLJ and rather impressive instability for this far north in March, it is absolutely worth the watch. I would note it's very similar to a June/July setup with SSE motion.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Even if Wednesday's orientation isn't too optimal for supercells in general, even the QLCS could be capable of sigtors. Prefrontal convection wouldn't be ruled out exactly, with one caveat: a subtle 700-800mb warm nose. NAM catching my eye and we seem to be trending WELL north in the severity of this threat.
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- #79
CheeselandSkies
Member
First sniff of the HRRR looked like it was going to sim-F.C.A.D. Illinois and then fired stuff at the last possible frame, from 23-0Z. Go figure.
Little 700mb shortwave/speed max shown moving in at around that time which is probably what does the job.
Little 700mb shortwave/speed max shown moving in at around that time which is probably what does the job.
Kds86z
Member
Will you be able to chase? I know Trey said he may…