Severe Weather 2026

[Kds86z]

 

[akt1985]

Right now it looks like a lot of rain for a majority of the South on Valentine’s Day. Since models are showing the Low near Nashville next Saturday, is that too far south and east for decent severe weather chances across the Southeast?

 

[JPWX]

The only model that hints at the potential for a more inland severe weather risk is the Euro. Otherwise, the GFS and Canadian would be more of a threat near the Gulf Coast into Florida. At this time, nothing stands out or points towards a more robust severe weather threat.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

The only model that hints at the potential for a more inland severe weather risk is the Euro. Otherwise, the GFS and Canadian would be more of a threat near the Gulf Coast into Florida. At this time, nothing stands out or points towards a more robust severe weather threat.

The 0z gfs came north , SPC new 4 to 8 day outlook now mentions the amplifying trough moving east , will spread deep moisture return into the lower ms valley … interesting see this slp trend more north even as appears be a deeping stronger slp.its showing on ensembles

 

[CheeselandSkies]

The 0z gfs came north , SPC new 4 to 8 day outlook now mentions the amplifying trough moving east , will spread deep moisture return into the lower ms valley … interesting see this slp trend more north even as appears be a deeping stronger slp.its showing on ensembles

Interesting that SPC included that wording, but still put days 7 and 8 as "potential too low" on the graphic. They must think the time frame of interest remains just beyond the range of today's outlook.

 

[Kds86z]

2 EF0s in Texas the other day.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

Way too early to put confidence in it, but that's definitely the look you would want for severe.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Way too early to put confidence in it, but that's definitely the look you would want for severe.

Getting plenty support also

 

[Kds86z]

I don’t understand?

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

its a silly joke going on in the wxtwitter community thats all

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

Sorry @UncleJuJu98

 

[Kds86z]

Oh boy

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

checks out pbz afd in the long range now mentions flooding becoming an concern and needs to be watched carefully

 

[RFD66]

Interesting...

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Think SPC starts really hitting on this threat mornings 4 to 8 day outlook

 

[akt1985]

Strange, but the models completely drop this system next weekend.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Think going through that period
Ideas will do that. Then bring it back

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Even if we miss the severe weather. Man I'm going to enjoy this warm weather after this bitterly cold spell here in Alabama for the last few weeks