Severe Weather 2026

[Jason Mills]

Pretty big CC drop despite almost no velocity signature on it.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Jason Mills]

ZDR was close to zero at this time, so definitely seems to be a TDS.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

well, the tornado threat may last a bit dependant on line orientation. If this line can sustain in the instability until SE GA, we could be seeing QLCS tor spam for a while. Maybe a little lull atm, but we mightve just had 5+ tornadoes in around that 30 min span

 

[Kds86z]

well, the tornado threat may last a bit dependant on line orientation. If this line can sustain in the instability until SE GA, we could be seeing QLCS tor spam for a while. Maybe a little lull atm, but we mightve just had 5+ tornadoes in around that 30 min span

And a new one just popped up..

 

[akt1985]

The QLCS is about to outrun the Tornado Watch.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

A potentially impactful windstorm may hit me tomorrow morning into the evening if the ICON verifies. The placement of the low determines how intense we may get and imo, 65+ mph wind gusts are looking a decent possibility tomorrow although guaranteed. I am eager to track and document this system, in fact, strong wind gusts are already taking place as i type this comment!

This is in kph, but 103 kph converted to mph is around 70 mph!, the ICON ensembles have had agreement on this which is why I'm concerned. Definitely could see some localised damage and significant flooding. We will see.

 

[Kds86z]

2 Ef1s confirmed from yesterday

 

[Kds86z]

And second ef2 of year …

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Thankfully, the ICON ensembles were off but 50-60 mph winds and well, significant flooding took place overnight. Quite the system from 12am to 8 that passed over us with heavy rain

 

[Kds86z]

 

[MichelleH]

A university chart shouldn't have typos - "midddle." Make me cringe.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[JPWX]

I'm just not seeing much if any severe weather increase the next few weeks at present time.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KevinH]

I'm just not seeing much if any severe weather increase the next few weeks at present time.

Yeah I kind of figured the same given how people have not said anything recently. Will be interesting to see how March-May goes

 

[Jason Mills]

With intrusion after intrusion of continental polar air, it's going to be very difficult to get any kind of appreciable moisture return for a while. I agree with JPWX - anything major in the severe department seems to be out of the picture for a while.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

I don't like the usage of that CIPS probabilistic guidance. It feels more like fuel for chasers just needing to get high on some sort of hope that a good chase is coming soon. No bad words on @Kds86z, he's just sharing and that's no problem.

I just see it used a bit too often in that type of fashion. We'll see


I certainly verified 55-60 mph wind gusts today! Dublin Airport also recorded a 55 mph gust. Could've been worse but those gusts got loud at some points!