2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[IdaliaHelene]

wxman57 in a nutshell

"It is a GLORIOUSLY sunny day!"

1 day later: hurricane tyrone RIs from TS to C4

 

[IdaliaHelene]

down jfl

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):
Recent satellite data indicates that the low pressure system located
more than 600 miles east-northeast of Bermuda is producing
gale-force winds. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity
remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are still marginally
favorable for further development, and an increase in thunderstorm
activity could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical
depression or tropical storm today or tonight. By Tuesday, this
system is expected to encounter unfavorable environmental
conditions, ending its opportunity for development. The system is
forecast to move northeastward around 10 to 15 mph, remaining over
the open central Atlantic. For additional information, including
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[IdaliaHelene]

jova

 

[Kds86z]

jova

Jova @IdaliaHelene ?

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

jova

Request granted

 

[Atlantic]

Pack it up. Joever for 90L

 

[Kds86z]

Pack it up. Joever for 90L
View attachment 44441

What’s joever @Atlantic?

 

[Atlantic]

What’s joever @Atlantic?

Joever = it’s over or just over

 

[Kds86z]

Joever = it’s over or just over

Ohh ok

 

[Atlantic]

It may not be joever for 90L yet. The Hurricane models that are run on Invests show a brief resurgence of convection around 09Z-15Z tomorrow, with the possibility that if it does happen that that could be the last chance Invest 90L would get to try to become a TC.

 

[IdaliaHelene]

Jova @IdaliaHelene ?

It may not be joever for 90L yet. The Hurricane models that are run on Invests show a brief resurgence of convection around 09Z-15Z tomorrow, with the possibility that if it does happen that that could be the last chance Invest 90L would get to try to become a TC.
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jova for 90lcels

Request granted
View attachment 44440

it’s so jova for 90lcels
Can never look like the Mogger you posted

 

[IdaliaHelene]

What’s joever @Atlantic?

Joever = it’s over or just over

it’s so jova

 

[IdaliaHelene]

NHC will initiate advisories on a recessed, mouth breathing Tropical Storm Andrea, located over the central subtropical Atlantic, at 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC).

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

1

Location off, not even close to a Yucatan landfall... But timing is correct, as is the shear potential.

Prediction Accuracy: around 85%

 

[IdaliaHelene]

Location off, not even close to a Yucatan landfall... But timing is correct, as is the shear potential.

Prediction Accuracy: around 85%

at least I got the timing and strength fine

 

[Atlantic]

Andrea bits the dust after a mere 12-18 hours as a tropical storm (officially, pending best track reanalysis)

This is also the latest advisory I’ve ever been up for from the NHC too.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[JPWX]

We have TD Two in the Bay Of Campeche now

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

2

Actually reasonably accurate assuming it gets named. Likely landfall is quite a bit further south than South Padre and the timing is a few days early, but otherwise this looks like a very accurate pick.

Projected Accuracy: 95%