Severe Weather 2025

[Kds86z]

Andy (not CheeselandSkies) wouldn't lie

@KakashiHatake2000

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

@KakashiHatake2000

Oh man sigh I saw from someone else that we are entering a period of mcs and d*recho the weather term mentioned as well but with mainly wind and other severe hazards unfortunately unless if they explicitly mentioned just the northern plains and Midwest region

 

[Kds86z]

Oh man sigh I saw from someone else that we are entering a period of mcs and d*recho the weather term mentioned as well but with mainly wind and other severe hazards unfortunately unless if they explicitly mentioned just the northern plains and Midwest region

Yeah we’ll see @KakashiHatake2000

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Yeah we’ll see @KakashiHatake2000

Yep I hope it’s just a wind bag for everybody that pretty much is what the case would be with damaging winds

 

[Kds86z]

Yep I hope it’s just a wind bag for everybody that pretty much is what the case would be with damaging winds

Yeah but I wouldn’t mind some beautiful tornadoes plus structure in plains not hurting anyone or anything

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Yeah but I wouldn’t mind some beautiful tornadoes plus structure in plains not hurting anyone or anything

Right just some photogenic short lived ones and thankfully the northern plains are pretty rural

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

But I do hope that they do eventually go into a line in a snap though which is also pretty much happens with MCS type setups

 

[Atlantic]

Is it too soon for a June 15-20 severe weather thread? Because if not I can start the thread.

 

[Kds86z]

Is it too soon for a June 15-20 severe weather thread? Because if not I can start the thread.

Probably a bit soon @Atlantic but nice of you.

 

[Atlantic]

Tornado Warning near Winnsboro and Ridgeway, South Carolina;

 

[Kds86z]

Probably a bit soon @Atlantic but nice of you.

But you definitely should @Atlantic if SPC does outlooks etc close to that time.

 

[Atlantic]

But you definitely should @Atlantic if SPC does outlooks etc close to that time.

I might not be able too. If it happens in the middle of the night up to at least 4-5 PM (before I get on), someone else might get to it before me.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Andy (not CheeselandSkies) wouldn't lie

Don't forget we also have @andyhb!

In seriousness, though, Andrew P. has become another one of my go-to YouTube meteorologists/chasers. He seems to know his stuff, avoids excessive hyping/clickbaiting, and stays calm, cool and collected while recording his tornado videos.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Andy (not CheeselandSkies) wouldn't lie

Was wondering when we were going to get in on some action! I seriously think it's been like two months since i've even heard thunder. Really wish MS and AL would quit hogging it all.

The GFS remains unconvincing. 00z run backtracked on the threat significantly. Wouldn't be surprised to see it more aggressive again by the 12z run. Euro is a lil freaky tho, not gonna lie.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

GFS is starting to lock in on some pretty strong tornado signals for the 18th and 19th Across Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, and Iowa




The 20th-23rd is looking even more extreme, but the chances of that verifying are very slim this far out. Does anyone know how the models behave this time of year compared to April/May? Are they less reliable or more/less aggressive? I've definitely heard their reliability changes depending on the time of year.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Would you believe this sounding is from the ND/SD border? Just a casual 7500 CAPE almost up into Canada. Crazy if true.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

im guessing that since we are in june we will have a short window for supercells and then it will quickly ride down the ring of fire with northwest flow but hopefully nothing crazy again for the folks up there in the northern plains and midwest region and quickly turn into a thunderstorm cluster mcs windbag type setup

 

[atrainguy]

Anecdotally, I've noticed we've had several years lately in my area where severe weather will ramp up mid to late June and last into July and August, even when it's been a really quiet spring. It definitely has NOT been a quiet spring, Michigan's up to over 20 tornadoes already last I saw, but the fact the maps showing the possible pattern 15-21st have Michigan included has my attention.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

wow i think i saw one time up there in michigan got a qlcs with brief spinups up there and strong winds so hope yall stay safe up there