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Severe Weather Threat June 5-9

SPC did have this mention from the latest update

Northwest/North Texas and Oklahoma...
A very active severe-weather day is expected including a regional
outbreak of severe storms. The potential exists for very large hail
and a few tornadoes this afternoon, with widespread damaging
winds/derecho potentially developing into this evening and
overnight, especially across much of North Texas and southern
Oklahoma.
 
TheSuckZone said:
Contaminated, but you can cherry pick some absolute bonkers soundings down in Texas tonight. That helicity...

View attachment 43869
Click to expand...
Might be a really dumb question, but is this a joke? I'm getting some really ridiculous soundings too but nothing that comes anywhere close to that hodograph lmao. That's the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen.
 
I'm surprised SPC didn't have a High hail risk. They stuck with moderate there. But I am also not at all surprised SPC stayed MDT overall. SPC hasn't gone HIGH for wind since 2013 & thereve been other outbreaks since 2024 that had the same conditions which stayed MDT. I'm not saying I 100% agree, just saying I'm not surprised.
 
From Reed

Live emergency update on the likely intense supercells capable of gorilla hail and #tornado production initially in the Texas Panhandle 3-7 pm before congealing into a derecho capable of wind gusts over 100 mph


Live emergency update on #tornado, gorilla hail, and derecho potential including OKC to DALLAS FORT WORTH!
Supercells capable of tornadoes, giant hail are likely starting in the Texas Panhandle by 3-4 pm, and spreading into western Oklahoma by evening. These supercells will gradually congeal into an intense bow echo that could be classified as a derecho given its longevity and strength.
Winds could gust over 100 mph in this line with much higher winds with any tornado vortices.
Stay tuned to watches and warnings! We will be live in the Dominator 3 by 3 pm!
 
brianc33710 said:
I'm surprised SPC didn't have a High hail risk. They stuck with moderate there. But I am also not at all surprised SPC stayed MDT overall. SPC hasn't gone HIGH for wind since 2013 & thereve been other outbreaks since 2024 that had the same conditions which stayed MDT. I'm not saying I 100% agree, just saying I'm not surprised.
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What was the end result for the 2013 High-Risk wind event
 
The highest SPC can go for large hail is Moderate
 
Jbop said:
What was the end result for the 2013 High-Risk wind event
Click to expand...

The eastern part verified pretty well in terms of coverage, but overall the event didn't really stand out in the grand scheme of derechos.

day1otlk_v_20130612_1630.gif

Also notice the cluster of wind reports in southeastern Wisconsin in (and even just outside the edge of) the slight risk - marginal as a category didn't exist at the time. I was chasing locally that day and caught some ominous clouds and lightning (timestamp linked).

 
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