Kds86z
Member
Yeah. I don’t see 10% happening today. Trey went over it, but he likes tomorrow more then Monday for discrete..Still looks more of a hail/high-wind event with low tornado threat.
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Yeah. I don’t see 10% happening today. Trey went over it, but he likes tomorrow more then Monday for discrete..Still looks more of a hail/high-wind event with low tornado threat.
Bingo. Frisco can agree to this ;pEven if the tornado threat is not as large today as the coming days, the potential for 2"+ hail over major metro areas could still be a doozy. Insurance is already very expensive for this area and an upper significant hail event would just spike it further.
I am not kidding when I say this. Both Sunday and Monday have a LOT of potential. The NAM 3KM, RAP, NAM, and HRRR are painting an environment in which could support (Say it with me now) Long track, intense to violent tornadoes if it pans out. Monday is more dependent on tomorrow's threat, in which if nothing happens, then the environment might get even MORE favorable. If the cap breaks and we get semi discrete/discrete activity that takes full advantage of the environment on either of those days, then yesterday will look like a side antagonist that is a precursor to a much worse villain.
Yes, that is true. But seriously, if either of those days pan out, then holy we are in for one heck of a ride.Word @Ozonelayer . Trey mentioned Monday has more forcing and a higher ceiling but lower floor.
Day 2 is late..
Day 2 is out! Mentions ef2+Yes, that is true. But seriously, if either of those days pan out, then holy we are in for one heck of a ride.
"I'm tired, boss.."Day 2 is out! Mentions ef2+
Geez @US_Highway15 thanks for sharing.If you wanna know how high the ceiling is for Monday...well here you go.
View attachment 42087
May 4, 2003 but shifted slightly westIf you wanna know how high the ceiling is for Monday...well here you go.
View attachment 42087
I need to look that up. I do recall girard f4.May 4, 2003 but shifted slightly west