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Severe Weather 2025

AJS said:
April 2, 2025 was a high risk no matter what way you look at it.

We had multiple significant tornadoes touch down that caused loss of life and immense damage to lots of communities.

If that’s not a high risk, I don’t know what is.
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The Lake City, AR tormado that should have been rated EF4. There was also one in the SLX area that should have rated EF4 as well. SLX has turned into a really crappy NWS office over the past 10 years.
 
AJS said:
What tornado was it?
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Berryman to Old Mines, MO.










 
18Z GFS would be potential trouble for this region next Thursday, although verbatim there are a few issues with the trough ejection (a bit like April 28th, 700mb temps are rather warm and it seems the strongest height falls and surface instability are slightly disjointed from each other), but plenty of time for it to change one way or the other.

MKX already saw fit to mention it in their AFD 6 days out though, which is pretty rare for them.

This setup will bring a more humid air mass with modest mid level
lapse rates to southern WI. The south-southeast winds off Lake
Michigan will help increase the low level lapse rates as well.
Scattered showers and weak thunderstorms will be possible each
afternoon during peak daytime heating, as surface based CAPE values
reach 500 j/kg or less, and shear remains very weak.

That upper trough is expected to swing into the Upper Great Lakes
region, negatively-tilted, Thursday afternoon or evening. This
system has the potential to bring severe storms to the Upper
Midwest, including southern WI. This will be something to watch over
the next week.

Cronce
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CheeselandSkies said:
18Z GFS would be potential trouble for this region next Thursday, although verbatim there are a few issues with the trough ejection (a bit like April 28th, 700mb temps are rather warm and it seems the strongest height falls and surface instability are slightly disjointed from each other), but plenty of time for it to change one way or the other.

MKX already saw fit to mention it in their AFD 6 days out though, which is pretty rare for them.
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Do you see a day 6-7 highlight from the SPC tomorrow
 
Clancy said:
Here you go :D
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Thank you for this life-changing discovery. I've seen some of his chase videos and was aware he had a YT channel but never bothered to dig further until now...

Idk if it's just a startling coincidence or a sign that I'll be the next Broyles, but I fell backwards in my computer chair shortly before I came across your post LMAO

Also this... Chris, please stick to weather forecasting and not extreme sports. I fully expect to see him wiping out on a skateboard next, and if he gets himself killed while doing that then there will be no more Broyles...
 
TH2002 said:
Thank you for this life-changing discovery. I've seen some of his chase videos and was aware he had a YT channel but never bothered to dig further until now...

Idk if it's just a startling coincidence or a sign that I'll be the next Broyles, but I fell backwards in my computer chair shortly before I came across your post LMAO

Also this... Chris, please stick to weather forecasting and not extreme sports. I fully expect to see him wiping out on a skateboard next, and if he gets himself killed while doing that then there will be no more Broyles...
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The sounds he makes in this video got me good lmfao
 
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