Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Chris3024]

It looks like the boundary near Fayette, AL matches up to the 1500 j/kg contour on mesoanalysis

 

[AJS]

The Mississippi storm looks to be aiming directly at Belzoni and could come pretty close to Silver City…

 

[SmokeEater]

BMX met mentioned in areas where the cloudcover is lingering, it won't be a hindrance much at all.

 

[Muwx]

Agreed. do you care to link those? Was it Marsh or Bentley?

I think I got hazelton confused with someone at the SPC. Regardless, questions remain and some of the questions today were not questions yesterday.

 

[warneagle]

Hoping it’ll split the uprights between Isola and Belzoni but if that’s what we’re getting out of the morning QLCS this is gonna be a long day

 

[AJS]

Definitely been on the ground for a little bit now. Couplet seems to be intensifying a bit more too.

 

[AJS]

Hoping it’ll split the uprights between Isola and Belzoni but if that’s what we’re getting out of the morning QLCS this is gonna be a long day

Looks to be aiming to miss both of those towns thankfully based on the track.

 

[Maxis_s]

Very broad rotation, I believe we're looking at an extremely powerful and large mesocyclone that may be producing one or more areas of rotation

 

[Muwx]

There are always failure modes. That doesn't mean anything is 'downtrending'. SPC just literally issued a PDS watch with 95/95 probabilities.

I’m not going to clog up the thread debating this mid outbreak but watches with those probabilities have come up well short of expectations before. Not downplaying the threat just saying that anyone speaking in certainty’s about what today will bring isnt basing it in fact.

 

[warneagle]

Kind of weird that it has a considerable tag and “damaging tornado” wording but it’s only listed as radar indicated.

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Plenty of juice for these storms in LA/MS to feed off of, my goodness

 

[Bama79]

BMX met mentioned in areas where the cloudcover is lingering, it won't be a hindrance much at all.

Suns trying to break through here in Guntersville .

 

[US_Highway15]

Jackson just updated that TOR Warning. Still has that "considerable" tag on it.

 

[ColdFront]

Waiting to see if JAN & BMX do a special sounding. That cap has to be gone in Mississippi.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Brad arnold from the MS tornado that occured late last night

 

[sak]

Hoping it’ll split the uprights between Isola and Belzoni but if that’s what we’re getting out of the morning QLCS this is gonna be a long day

pretty sure that’s exactly what the supercell did last night.

 

[AJS]

Getting a suspicious feeling about this storm now. Developing a broad area of rotation now.

 

[US_Highway15]

Waiting to see if JAN & BMX do a special sounding. That cap has to be gone in Mississippi.

I'm personally anxious to see the next BMX AFD.

 

[Kds86z]

Brad arnold from the MS tornado that occured late last night

Yeah saw that. Thanks for sharing. Definitely the most menacing shots of the night ….

 

[thundersnow]

Still no debris signature on radar with the PDS warning in MS

View attachment 36033

I think it’s too far away from the nearest radar site to effectively pick up CCs from a TDS.