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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

I'm going to say the quiet part out loud: This has the definite potential to be a High SPC day on Saturday. (Not a slam dunk. Not guaranteed. No one harkening to this outbreak or that. Just pointing out what the models have been siren singing us for days now, consistently and nonstop. Someone needs to say it...)
 
wx_guy said:
I'm going to say the quiet part out loud: This has the definite potential to be a High SPC day on Saturday. (Not a slam dunk. Not guaranteed. No one harkening to this outbreak or that. Just pointing out what the models have been siren singing us for days now, consistently and nonstop. Someone needs to say it...)
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Regardless of whether or not that pink sharpie comes out (looking at you, Broyles), everyone in the Southeast needs to have their eyes peeled like the tangerine in my trash can. This isn't a typical, low-end setup and it's certainly not going to be highly localized. It has the potential to be a serious threat all across the Deep South, and should be treated as such. Main saving grace would be over-convection mid-morning Saturday into the afternoon, but that would likely result in something more like what we saw on April 12, 2020, where you had nasty storms occurring below a shield of convection.
 
wx_guy said:
We'll have to wait for the CAMs to see this but I suspect the answer is "yes" or "probably so"
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I'm constantly reminded that while the event won’t be like...you know what.
If this happens….we might have some historically powerful tornadoes for this time of year. Maybe even multiple of those.
Its possible if the mesoscale details play out right…or…wrong.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
What amazes me, is we could have a strong tornado the morning of Saturday if a stray supercell pops off. Hrrr will have a better job at determining those things. Hopefully it's not a all day thing in Alabama.
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I don't think it'll be "all day." But I do expect some early morning weather rolling over from Friday with a bit of a lull until the main threat.
 
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