Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

Clancy said:
Yeah, in the good ol days the standard recommendation was to call (toll free!). As a kid I memorized Peachtree City's number. Not sure what BMX's is but if you don't have social media you can call them, give your precise geographical location and credentials and give a concise description of what you're reporting. That's how it was done in FFC's jurisdiction back then, dunno if it's changed or not.
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I have the advanced storm spotters certificate, so I'll make sure to let them know lol, and have the number ready. I'm just hoping for a awesome picture, and being able to say I saw a tornado in person lol.
 
keithGA said:
Updraft helicity from the NOAA C-Shield model.
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Clancy said:
Worth noting that model tends to put out very over-exaggerated UH values, so I wouldn't expect reality to look anything like that. That said, I think the general placement of those tracks make sense.
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Not gonna lie, I chuckled a little seeing that. Of course, one of those tracks takes the infamous Highway 69 track.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
I got a question, so if I spot a tornado or funnel cloud am I able to call the NWS of BMX. And tell them I see one? I'll have great view of any northern Jefferson county storm.
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They have an online storm reporting form:


On an active severe weather day, especially if you see a funnel cloud, tornado, or damage, they should have people manning the phones non-stop to take reports. So, I would say call them (since you don't have Twitter).
 
18Z GFS mostly holds serve. Trough looks a touch more impressive. LLJ a little stronger over GA. Western 1/3rd of GA maintains 60+ dews well into the overnight.
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Cyclonic Paracosm said:
oh crap, here we goo
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Yeah...I'll be interested to see what those averaged soundings look like on Saturday afternoon. Basically, if you take an average sounding of all of MS, most of AL and LA and parts of TN you'd get a PDS TOR box.

Impressive soundings extend well into Ohio and Kentucky as well.
 
Clancy said:
18Z GFS mostly holds serve. Trough looks a touch more impressive. LLJ a little stronger over GA. Western 1/3rd of GA maintains 60+ dews well into the overnight.
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That warm sector getting dragged eastward as the night goes on as depicted in the 18Z GFS is a dangerous look. Any cells still ahead of the line will be able to keep tapping into that energy instead of running into a more unfavorable environment as the night goes on.
 
ColdFront said:
That warm sector getting dragged eastward as the night goes on as depicted in the 18Z GFS is a dangerous look. Any cells still ahead of the line will be able to keep tapping into that energy instead of running into a more unfavorable environment.
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Yep, relatively rare thing for Georgia, and most certainly could lead to a dangerous overnight scenario.
 
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