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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

Brice W said:
Soundings as of now definitely have the potential to warrant something close to this or another Mayfield. Really hope this downtrends because this is looking pretty mean for Dixie.
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andyhb said:
Very, very high ceiling on Friday on those 12z Euro/UK runs. As in potential higher end outbreak.
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How does the Saturday ceiling look to you? I know the focus is AL/MS… Do you think the morning convection may throw a fly in the ointment? Do you feel like TN is in play on Saturday or do you think it will be confined to AL/MS?
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Hard to say for sure at this stage. With strong capping, but also strong forcing, and a decent westerly (perpendicular to the initiating boundary) component to the mid/upper-level winds, we could see a couple of discrete supercells up this way (obviously preferred from a chasing standpoint).
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p much more discretes than what we thought was gonna occur with our past events of recent
 
stallions3peat said:
Would you rather it come on a Saturday in the spring than say a Saturday in November when a large portion of the state is more focused on a football game?
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I don’t know if the state of Alabama now cares about college basketball since both Alabama and Auburn’s men’s teams are doing great but I think the SEC Men’s Basketball Tournament is next weekend. At least those games will be on SEC Network and won’t be subject to wall to wall coverage.
 
Bulkshear said:
How does the Saturday ceiling look to you? I know the focus is AL/MS… Do you think the morning convection may throw a fly in the ointment? Do you feel like TN is in play on Saturday or do you think it will be confined to AL/MS?
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Won't know for certain until Friday works out. There is potential for something significant on Saturday if the secondary wave evolves correctly, morning convection definitely will be a factor.
 
Anti Marine Layer said:
Still nearly a week out until Pi Day, the Ides of March, and St. Patty's Eve and there is already a lot of discussion about the next severe weather event. Too bad I live in a part of the country where the weather is boring most of the time.
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That is a good thing (for you). You don’t want to be out here this weekend :)
 
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