- Messages
- 6,437
- Location
- Birmingham
Can you attach the thread onto this one so people can be redirected there
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Severe Weather 2025
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Parker Copeland
Member
- Messages
- 0
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
until/when that happens, imma stay and post here
Jason Mills
Member
See dedicated thread.
talkweather.com
2/15/25 SE Severe Threat
Global models are in good agreement concerning a severe risk over a large portion of the SE on Saturday. SPC has highlighted a 15% risk for D6. THERE HAS BEEN A CONSISTENT SIGNAL FOR A POTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST ON FRIDAY. IN RESPONSE TO THIS TROUGH, A DEEP...
talkweather.com
- Messages
- 2,830
- Location
- Smithville MS
- Messages
- 1,336
- Location
- Cullman, AL
Marginal risk with a small tornado threat for today as well.
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
We have a several threads for the same severe/winter events this week (Wednesday 2/12 and Saturday 2/15) and it’s already confusing. Can we ask an admin to merge threads? 
I think there should be a separate forum for the winter event. I don’t recall seeing severe/winter events being combined before. If things are going to ramp up for spring can we review the posting guidelines? lol
@WesL @JayF @MichelleH
I think there should be a separate forum for the winter event. I don’t recall seeing severe/winter events being combined before. If things are going to ramp up for spring can we review the posting guidelines? lol@WesL @JayF @MichelleH
- Messages
- 1,336
- Location
- Cullman, AL
We have a several threads for the same severe/winter events this week (Wednesday 2/12 and Saturday 2/15) and it’s already confusing. Can we ask an admin to merge threads?
@WesL @JayF @MichelleH
I tried to simplify things this morning. This thread for general severe, the new thread for tomorrow's (Wednesday's) threat and the thread for Saturday's threat are all pinned to the top. I also just changed the one thread to strictly winter weather and repinned it. It's a busy week, and I realize it gets confusing, but if you guys can please try to use the right threads it will be greatly appreciated, especially when we get into event mode.
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
Thank you
Current models are looking like we will have a quiet period in Severe WX for at least a week. But I think its interesting we have had 3 events (Dec 28th 2024, Feb 12th and Feb 15th) which have managed to bring upper 60F (even locally 70F) dew points inland. I don't have anything concrete to back this up, but I recall from at least 2024 and 2023 early on there were a lot of struggles with moisture quality in the winter events. This makes me quite concerned for early spring especially...
I was quite impressed by how far north we were getting tornado activity last night. Often in these HSLC setups you get your instability and moisture choked off around I-20 or so, but we had tornado warnings way up into Tennessee well past midnight.
CheeselandSkies
Member
- Messages
- 3,841
- Location
- Madison, WI
Way too early for specifics but the last several GFS runs have hinted at some potential for the next event around the end of the month/start of March.
Cyclonic Paracosm
Member
- Messages
- 474
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
looks like our next decent day is the 28th, GFS run had a wild ahh sounding with great lapse rates and cape
Cyclonic Paracosm
Member
- Messages
- 474
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
who pissed of the gfs
DetectiveWX
Member
- Messages
- 110
- Location
- Atlanta GA
I know 2011 is forbidden in this forum's speak, but this gives you an idea of what might be coming down the line this spring...
- Messages
- 2,830
- Location
- Smithville MS
Cyclonic Paracosm
Member
- Messages
- 474
- Location
- Zanesville, Ohio
CheeselandSkies
Member
- Messages
- 3,841
- Location
- Madison, WI
It's lasted for more than 1 or 2 runs so I'd say there's definitely a signal there, but maps and forecast soundings are just eye candy at this point.
- Messages
- 1,336
- Location
- Cullman, AL
Not forbidden, just have to be careful when talking about it and making comparisons. This data you shared - which seems very solid - makes me a bit nervous. I have a feeling we are in for a wild ride this year. As far as "that day," I don't know if we will ever see an event again of that magnitude. Thing is, if we had an outbreak even 1/4 of "Voldemort," it would still be catastrophic.