IdaliaHelene
Member
So what do you think based on this the NS/H/MH would be (inb4 "too early")?
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
- Thread starter Atlantic
- Start date
IdaliaHelene
Member
"humberto sounds familiar" Oh excrement, that's not a good sign at all
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
IdaliaHelene
Member
I have 17-9-4 at the moment (I'm always changing them according to the models), with Humberto, Lorenzo and Melissa in the "highest-risk" category after numerology calculations
My February prediction (I kinda forgot this until yesterday night)
17 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
5 Major Hurricanes
ACE index between 135-180.
I have been seeing worrying trends for a 2005-like setup, though that doesn't mean the season will be like 2005 at all. I have also been seeing trends for 2017-style tracks around the Greater Antillies Islands based off of systems like Hurricane Oscar in mid-October 2024, and possible South Florida impacts based off of where areas of low pressure have been going this winter and since October 2024.
I have low confidence in this month's prediction.
My new updated forecast for possiblities for a landfall anywhere in the Atlantic during 2025:
Red = High
Orange = Medium
Yellow = Low
Dark Greenish-Yellow = Little or No Chance
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
Been seeing those trends as well, hopefully we don't get an Irma-like system this year.
Have you heard of the LRC?
IdaliaHelene
Member
My numerology is saying there could be an Irma like system (Lorenzo or Melissa) and Michael like system (humberto)
Why are people so fucking quiet about this season compared to last year jfl at this
The best I can tell in trends this far out is that we may have a mix of 2005 and 2017 this season. 2005 and 2017 were some of the most costly seasons on record.
I just hope that these trends change, because the trends now are very concerning.
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
Yes I have, Meteorologist Eric Burris uses it to make his Hurricane Season forecast. In fact, on the 1st of March, he will issue his forecast for the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
I'm counting down the days until March 1st.
I think South Florida will be in play this year and anywhere from the Florida Panhandle to eastern Texas.
Do you see anything that I might not be seeing?
I can also see a return to the U.S. East Coast threats too.
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
I think we may see early season development in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche like last season with Alberto and Chris.
IdaliaHelene
Member
Which trends are the most concerning?
Worse than 2024?
I'm also worried we might get a backdoor surprise like we did with Hurricane Beryl. If this season is like the last few seasons (2023 and 2024) we might see another tropical-wave origin TC in June.
I imagine we will get an early CAG spinup in late May, though these last few seasons have sacrficed CAG storms in May for oddly early MDR storms in June.
IdaliaHelene
Member
Where could I have a look at this?
Numerology is pointing towards the east gulf and the east coast along with the videos and models
so I put them through a composite and will give you a full updated numerology forecast
So far high risk names: fernand, humberto, lorenzo, melissa
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
I'm also seeing the signals for another June development in the Tropical North Atlantic.
IdaliaHelene
Member
Here's what I've got so far (February 2025 forecast):
Master Table: 2025 Atlantic Storms (Esoteric Forecast)
1. Andrea
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea | 7–7–9 | Late May – Early Jun | Mostly OTS off SE coast, might clip Outer Banks | TS (max ~50 mph / 22 m/s / 43 kn / 80 km/h) | If landfall, ~TS (40–45 mph) | Low | Early-season overshadow synergy, double 7 rarely “explodes” in UY 9. Likely mild. |
2. Barry
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry | 1–1–9 | Mid–July | Gulf approach (LA/MS/FL Panhandle possible) | Cat 1 (~75–80 mph / ~34–36 m/s / 65–70 kn / 120–130 km/h) | ~Cat 1 if it landfalls soon after peak | Low–Moderate | “1–1” synergy can cause quick intensification near land, but overshadow is likely in a 9-year. Could cause local flooding. |
3. Chantal
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantal | 5–2–3 | Early August | Likely OTS far E. Atlantic | TS (~45–50 mph / 20–22 m/s / 39–43 kn / 70–80 km/h) | None (stays OTS) | Low | Overshadow synergy; “5–2–3” rarely forms a major in a karmic 9-year. Expect a short-lived TS. |
4. Dexter (Replacing Dorian)
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter | 4–1–3 | Mid–Late August | Possibly near Greater Antilles / Florida / OTS | TS (~50–60 mph / 22–27 m/s / 43–52 kn / 80–95 km/h) or borderline Cat 1 | If landfall, TS (~55 mph) | Low | 4–1–3 overshadow synergy; not replicating “Dorian.” Might be a mild brush of FL or Bahamas. |
5. Erin
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin | 1–5–5 | Late August | Bahamas/East Coast front, partial OTS | Cat 1 (~75 mph / 34 m/s / 65 kn / 120 km/h) if lucky | TS–Cat 1 if it hits NC or SC | Low | “1–5–5” synergy can ramp quickly, overshadow if a major is nearby. Expect borderline Cat 1. |
6. Fernand
| Name | Numerology | Likely Formation | Track | Peak Intensity | Landfall Intensity | Retirement Risk | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernand | 8–6–2 | Late August – Early September | Toward Bahamas/Florida or Eastern Gulf | Cat 3 (~115–120 mph / ~51–54 m/s / ~100–105 kn / 185–195 km/h) | ~Cat 2–3 if it hits FL/GA or Gulf states | Moderate–High | “8 synergy” can unleash big in a 9-year if it finds a quiet window. Potentially a major landfall event. |
IdaliaHelene
Member
IdaliaHelene
Member
Risk Level Flags
Below is a concise label indicating each storm’s risk of retirement or catastrophic outcomes (Low, Moderate, or High), reflecting combined peak/landfall intensity potential + overshadow vs. MOG synergy:| Storm | Risk |
|---|---|
| Andrea | Low |
| Barry | Low–Moderate |
| Chantal | Low |
| Dexter | Low |
| Erin | Low |
| Fernand | Moderate–High |
| Gabrielle | Low–Moderate |
| Humberto | High |
| Imelda | Low–Moderate |
| Jerry | Low |
| Karen | Low |
| Lorenzo | High |
| Melissa | High |
| Nestor | Low |
| Olga | Low |
| Pablo | Low |
| Rebekah | Low |
- High Risk: Humberto, Lorenzo, Melissa – consistent synergy for major hurricanes + strong potential for intense landfall or global impact.
- Moderate–High: Fernand – 8 synergy in a UY 9 can produce a big landfall if it finds a quiet slot.
- Low–Moderate: Barry, Gabrielle, Imelda – might cause significant flooding or borderline hurricane landfalls but less chance of monstrous intensities.
- Low: The rest are overshadow or short-lived.