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Hurricane Hurricane Francine

UncleJuJu98 said:
Is there going to be a thread made for inland impacts or will this be the only thread wrapped into one for inland and coastal? Because I imagine spin ups will be a issue inland into Alabama and parts of Mississippi.
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Good question.
I don't think that having the tornado discussions here is going to dilute or detract from the cyclone as a whole so I believe this is an entirely appropriate place for it.
We could probably make a temporary sticky thread on general weather subforum that links here for discussion related to tornadoes, when the event gets closer if that threat materializes in a big way.
 
KoD said:
Good question.
I don't think that having the tornado discussions here is going to dilute or detract from the cyclone as a whole so I believe this is an entirely appropriate place for it.
We could probably make a temporary sticky thread on general weather subforum that links here for discussion related to tornadoes, when the event gets closer if that threat materializes in a big way.
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I reckon that's probably the best way to do it.
 
I do believe that's the start of intensification.
G16_sector_gm_band13_24fr_20240910-1539.gif
 
lake.effect said:
Reed and others are calling for a major tornado outbreak on the east / northeast side of the storm (including New Orleans, gulf coast MS/AL and parts of Florida as well).

Shear is going to be insane, even higher than typical landfalling hurricane. Tornado outbreak might be the main story with Francine.
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Id be careful listening to some of these guys, everything is a tornado outbreak with reed timmer, albeit tropical system do produce quite a few spin ups that can reach the criteria to classify as a tornado outbreak. We aren't far removed from the prolific inland tornado outbreak of hurricane berryl so anythings possible lol.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
Id be careful listening to some of these guys, everything is a tornado outbreak with reed timmer, albeit tropical system do produce quite a few spin ups that can reach the criteria to classify as a tornado outbreak. We aren't far removed from the prolific inland tornado outbreak of hurricane berryl so anythings possible lol.
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While I respect Reed deeply for everything he’s done for meteorology, it annoys me a lot with how much he overhypes events.
 
slenker said:
While I respect Reed deeply for everything he’s done for meteorology, it annoys me a lot with how much he overhypes events.
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I like to watch folks like him for entertainment, but understanding that's what they are and then getting all the REAL analysis from the operational meteorologists with no stage presence but years of experience is the way to go. Reed hyping something might get me interested, but an NHC or NWS discussion will actually get me to act when needed.
 
I get the feeling Francine's going to look a bit different in the morning than she did this morning. Deep deep convection firing now. She's a happy storm - hope she sucks in some more dry air and just pulses, but this is her healthiest look so far, IMO.
 

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Latest advisory.
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wx_guy said:
And we have a hurricane! 982, ouch, it's strengthening pretty fast...wonder if the winds will accelerate accordingly.
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Doesn't seem like a 100% sure shot, but I reckon it's certainly possible, maybe probable. Main issue is just the amount of time it has to do that between now and landfall. But it's the Gulf in September, so anything could happen.
 
Not much change in 10pm Update except pressure is down to 980mbar. Also, this is concerning in the NHC 10pm Discussion: "After Francine moves inland, a turn to the north-northeast
and a decrease in forward speed is predicted while it moves across
eastern Louisiana and Mississippi. " Depending on how much the forward speed decreases, a more significant heavy rain/flash flood threat could evolve.
 
JPWX said:
Not much change in 10pm Update except pressure is down to 980mbar. Also, this is concerning in the NHC 10pm Discussion: "After Francine moves inland, a turn to the north-northeast
and a decrease in forward speed is predicted while it moves across
eastern Louisiana and Mississippi. " Depending on how much the forward speed decreases, a more significant heavy rain/flash flood threat could evolve.
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Broad flooding threat with tornado risk on the NE front could certainly prove an issue. We had training tornadic supercells from Tropical Storm Lee in 2011, could see something similar perhaps in AL with Francine.
 
90 mph as of 5am. I'm glad she hasn't been able to maintain the symmetry needed to RI. Sheer is high and will get worse.
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