Severe Weather Threat 5/25-5/26, 2024

[Maxis_s]

It’s very much still on the ground.

Might as well treat it as such. Confirmed tornado warning on it now.
Oh yeah, that's a big cc drop.

 

[TH2002]

Warning now radar confirmed.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

Wowie at the structure of the Eddyville storm.
View attachment 28172

Wow. 56k foot echo tops too

 

[OhOkayThen]

The cell heading to Owensboro continues to look scary. Pretty large population there as well.

 

[Clancy]

Last D1 of the day made relatively few changes and kept the MOD.

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Valid 270100Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are expected to continue this evening and overnight
across the eastern Ozark Plateau into the Ohio and Tennessee Valley.
Tornadoes, some strong to intense, and large to very large hail will
remain the primary concerns this evening before transitioning to a
widespread severe wind threat (with embedded circulations)
overnight.

...Ozarks to Lower Ohio River Valley...
Numerous supercells are ongoing as of 01 UTC across the Ozark
Plateau into the lower OH River Valley with multiple confirmed
tornadoes noted over the past 1-2 hours per recent local storm
reports and confirmed tornado warning tags. These cells are expected
to persist for the next few hours amid a gradually improving
kinematic environment (see MCD #994 for more regional details
regarding this threat).

To the northwest of the supercells, a developing severe MCS is
becoming well organized and is forecast to push east/southeast
through the overnight hours. With destabilization occurring ahead of
the MCS across the lower OH River Valley (the 00 UTC BNA sounding
shows rich low-level moisture with ~1500 J/kg MLCAPE), the potential
for widespread damaging to severe winds appears to be increasing.
Recent CAM guidance, including experimental WoFS ensemble guidance,
appears to support this idea and depicts a swath of severe winds
(including the potential for significant wind gusts up to 75 mph)
extending well into southern IL/IN and much of KY. Consequently, a
wind-driven expansion of the Moderate risk area is warranted across
parts of the lower OH River Valley. Despite the linear storm mode,
favorable low-level SRH should support the potential for embedded
circulations. See MCD #995 for more short-term details regarding the
developing MCS and wind threat.

....Mid-Atlantic Region...
A residual QLCS continues to produce damaging winds across the
Mid-Atlantic region despite outrunning favorable deep-layer wind
shear. Downstream buoyancy remains favorable for some degree of line
maintenance heading into the late evening hours, which should
continue to support a damaging wind threat. Wind probabilities have
been increased across this region to reflect this potential, though
the threat is expected to diminish overnight amid increasing
nocturnal stabilization and displacement from stronger forcing for
ascent to the west. See MCD #993 for additional details.

..Moore.. 05/27/2024

 

[Clancy]

TDS is now intensifying.

 

[Maxis_s]

Large tornado.

 

[SmokeEater]

Big debris sig heading for places that were hit very hard by the Mayfield tornado.

 

[Kds86z]

It’s on Ryan halls stream

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

If that thing stays down it may take it right into Madisonville, which is no stranger to violent tornados.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Clancy]

Debris ball visible on reflectivity.

 

[TornadoFan]

Debris ball on reflectivity.

 

[TH2002]

PDS TOR now.

 

[MMWX]

PDS warned.

 

[SmokeEater]

PDS TW now.

 

[Clancy]

The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Central Caldwell County in western Kentucky...
North central Lyon County in western Kentucky...

* Until 900 PM CDT.

* At 809 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
was located near Eddyville, moving northeast at 20 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
Princeton and Farmersville around 815 PM CDT.
Dawson Springs around 840 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Fryer.

This includes Interstate 69 in Kentucky between Mile Markers 71 and
90.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[jiharris0220]

TDS is now intensifying.
View attachment 28174

This storm has all of the hallmarks of being a legit long tracker.

It’s all by itself, no storm is remotely near it due to CIN, and the warm sector has extreme kinematics in a large area, the shear only gets stronger moving forward.

This one needs to be taken dead seriously.

 

[Maxis_s]