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Severe Weather Threat 5/25-5/26, 2024

jiharris0220 said:
For a 60% you would need every single model across the board to consistently agree 2 days at minimum, and all have to agree consistently that the environment has to be extreme and have essentially no failure modes whatsoever.
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Yeah, and 4/27/11 may have had a concern with atmospheric recovery after that morning QLCS, if I’m remembering correctly.
 
Brice W said:
To add on, their discussion the day of was about a few violent tornadoes possible? If I remember correctly, which a few can be between 3-5? Which would already be a memorable outbreak in itself. If they went with the 60% their verbiage would’ve been much more volatile.
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I don’t know. Either way, I feel like 60% is unnecessary in general; 45% should just become greater than or equal to 45% imo, it should raise the same alarm bells as a 60% does.
 
slenker said:
I don’t know. Either way, I feel like 60% is unnecessary in general; 45% should just become greater than or equal to 45% imo, it should raise the same alarm bells as a 60% does.
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Agreed. A 60% is something that should get people really really thinking about a day. But it’s lost all of its purpose because of that day it was issued.
 
Maxis_s said:

YOU'RE NOT HELPING, ANDREW.
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Oh No Pain GIF by ProBit Global
 
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