Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - December 8th-10th, 2023

[Tennie]

Reported death toll is now at six: three around Clarksville, three around Nashville.

 

[Tennie]

Possible unwarned tornado looks to be heading for the KGWX radar:

 

[TornadoFan]

Sadly, it didn't take long for idiots to come out claiming it was because of HAARP. I refuse to give those people the time of day.

 

[Clancy]

Sadly, it didn't take long for idiots to come out claiming it was because of HAARP. I refuse to give those people the time of day.

They've fewer brain cells than you have toes, I wouldn't worry about them.

 

[Tennie]

Sadly, it didn't take long for idiots to come out claiming it was because of HAARP. I refuse to give those people the time of day.

IIRC, HAARP was dismantled several years ago, to boot!

 

[Clancy]

TOR-warned cell keeps playing wack-a-mole.

 

[Clancy]

Storm near Lynchburg looks like trouble.

 

[Clancy]

New Tornado Watch.

 

[Clancy]

 

[cheestaysfly]

I’ve always wanted a tornado shelter. Haven’t bought my forever home yet, but when I do I plan on having one. And I probably would sleep in it during overnight stormy chaos. Don’t blame you at all. This specific storm should move past you before you need to do that though.

I definitely feel a lot better knowing I have it. The peace of mind is worth the money.

 

[Clancy]

WKRN reports possible TOG with the TOR-warned storm. Hard to tell on radar but it's possible.

 

[Clancy]

Storm south of Hamilton, AL needs to be watched over the next hour or so.

 

[MichelleH]

After all these years, nighttime events still terify me. During the day I’m fine, but knowing this area’s history with storms after dark…nope. Ready for the last line to go through.

 

[atrainguy]

Some pretty crazy footage of the Clarksville tornado.

 

[Tennie]

WKRN has possible power flashes on their stream:

6 dead in Middle Tennessee tornado outbreak

Severe weather rolled through Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky on Saturday, leaving six dead and dozens injured.

www.wkrn.com

 

[Clancy]

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2314

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 715 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 715.
Damaging gusts appear to be the main threat, though a tornado or two
cannot be ruled out over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have consolidated into a QLCS across
middle TN into northern AL. Buoyancy continues to gradually wane
over the region, though impressive shear profiles remain (i.e. the
latest HTX VAD, which shows an elongated, curved hodograph). Given
the linear storm mode, damaging gusts should be the main threat as
the QLCS progresses across middle TN and northern AL (the remainder
of Tornado Watch 715). However, given the impressive shear profiles,
any portion of the line where a sustained mesovortex can develop may
support the development of a tornado.

 

[TH2002]

Not much to add, but after catching up on everything I can at least say the SPC handled this event very well considering all the flip-flopping and uncertainty in regards to the forecast models. These seemingly-marginal Tennessee setups have had me on edge since 3/3/2020 - and will now continue to do so because they almost always end up producing destructive, deadly tornadoes in populated areas. I can only hope the death toll doesn't climb any higher.

 

[Clancy]

SPC watching overnight threat for AL very closely, per latest MD.

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2315

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 716 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornadoes and damaging winds will remain possible through
the evening. Discrete storms ahead of the cold front would pose a
higher tornado threat, but their maturation is uncertain. A
downstream watch is likely for parts of central/southern Alabama in
the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...Convection continues to become more linear along the
cold front advancing through Mississippi into northwestern Alabama.
This general trend should continue as the main synoptic trough
continues east/southeast. A few more discrete elements have been
noted in east-central Mississippi. While the longevity of these
storms is not certain, they would pose a greater tornado threat and
may reach the edge of WW 716 sooner should they mature. That being
said, the cold front will likely be the zone for severe storms this
evening. Objective mesoanalysis and the KBMX VAD suggest sufficient
low-level shear for tornadoes. Furthermore, an increase in low-level
winds is expected in parts of Alabama later tonight which would
promote an increase in QLCS tornado potential. Damaging winds can
also be expected, particularly with any QLCS circulations.

A new tornado watch is likely for parts of central into southern
Alabama within the next couple of hours. The exact timing of the
watch will be somewhat dependent on whether cellular convection
matures ahead of the line.

 

[Clancy]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning in SW GA. Nothing tornadic, but shows that energy is still in the air.

 

[warneagle]

More damage photos