- Thread starter
- #21
I think the SPC guys jumped the gun again on risk area lol. Looking at 09z rap and 06z HRRR the low pressure may cross through the middle of Alabama.
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January 27th deep south severe wx
- Thread starter UncleJuJu98
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KevinH
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- Thread starter
- #23
25 lolRandom question that has nothing to do with this post: How old are you?
Justin Hindman Hindy
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He is 98 years old lol
Clancy
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Just about the smallest slight risk I've ever seen.
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Clancy
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Most of the CAMs are depicting a rain shield over AL which would really put a lid on things Saturday.
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- #28
I'm smelling a dud. Id expect a lot of that slight to go away or shift a bunch lol
Clancy
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Yeah, just looks like a wet mess for now.
KevinH
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When are you going to learn not to do this when Dixie starts to wake up? LOL
wx_guy
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The most recent SREF shows only a 50% chance of STP > 1 in that narrow Slight region. Yeah...this feels like a non-event lol
- Thread starter
- #32
The guys a SPC are gunna start getting gun shy with issuing these risks with the last few being non events with day 4+ risk outlines lol
KevinH
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JPWX
Member
Whoever Linda is, I hope she is alright..... LOL!
I hate to be around Gadsden...
- Thread starter
- #37
The HRRR is still really bullish on instability and parameters even with the rain shield. I'm not sure I'm 100% buying it yet. But tommorow maybe a chase day for me.
RRFS has quicker decay of storms to the south and a longer period of destabilizion. Complex forecast coming up tommorow. all eyes on mesoscale evolution
WRF's runs are not impressive. Going to give the HRRR and RRFS some space see more consistency throughout the afternoon and I'll get on board.
These quick recovery events are hard to pull off.
RRFS has quicker decay of storms to the south and a longer period of destabilizion. Complex forecast coming up tommorow. all eyes on mesoscale evolution
WRF's runs are not impressive. Going to give the HRRR and RRFS some space see more consistency throughout the afternoon and I'll get on board.
These quick recovery events are hard to pull off.
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- Thread starter
- #38
Kevin I think Linda may have jinxed us this time again as well
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- #39
Is Linda Karen's mother?
KevinH
Member
Possibly… but they ARE related lol
