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Tropical Storm Tropical Storm NESTOR (2 Viewers)


WesL

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NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a
tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the
western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving
generally northeastward. Regardless of development, this system
could produce gusty winds, rainfall, and rough surf along portions
of the northern Gulf Coast Friday and Saturday. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system Thursday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
 

WesL

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
1000 AM CDT Thu Oct 17 2019

...DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 95.7W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 22.4 North, longitude 95.7 West. The system is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the northeast
is expected this afternoon or tonight, and a northeastward motion
at a faster forward speed is expected on Friday and Saturday. On
the forecast track, the system will approach the northern Gulf
coast Friday and Friday night.
 

JayF

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I hope it shifts left a little bit, stays a Tropical Storm and comes straight through North Alabama.
 

WesL

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Tropical Storm Warnings up for Louisiana, Alabama and Florida Panhandle.
 

Taylor Campbell

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I hope this screw bug doesn’t rain on my golf Saturday, but it’s looking pretty likely unfortunately.
 

WesL

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Taylor Campbell

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Not sure it'll rain on mine here near Birmingham, but it's going to be a breezy day at the course at the least.
I got 36 holes scheduled starting at 9 in the morning at Callaway Gardens. I’m hoping things speed up, and we get in more of the dry slot. If it’s a wash out, I will just have to enjoy the outside hot tub as it rains, and winds gust near 30.
 

WesL

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Tropical Storm Nestor Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
100 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

...DISTURBANCE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM NESTOR...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 89.5W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 

Jacob

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I got 36 holes scheduled starting at 9 in the morning at Callaway Gardens. I’m hoping things speed up, and we get in more of the dry slot. If it’s a wash out, I will just have to enjoy the outside hot tub as it rains, and winds gust near 30.
Ah gotcha. Looking at the radar this morning, if you don't mind playing in light rain it looks like you might can get a good bit of it in. Just hope that one heavy band stays away from you or moves through quickly.
 

WesL

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I got 36 holes scheduled starting at 9 in the morning at Callaway Gardens. I’m hoping things speed up, and we get in more of the dry slot. If it’s a wash out, I will just have to enjoy the outside hot tub as it rains, and winds gust near 30.
Could be the best game of your life....

 

Taylor Campbell

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Ah gotcha. Looking at the radar this morning, if you don't mind playing in light rain it looks like you might can get a good bit of it in. Just hope that one heavy band stays away from you or moves through quickly.
It’s raining pretty good right now. It may clear up by 12:30 for us to get out there in more spotty stuff.
 

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