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WTNT22 KNHC 231430
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 30.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 30.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 29.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 9.8N 33.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.2N 37.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.2N 52.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 12.3N 57.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 13.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.3N 30.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122018
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 30.2W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 30.2W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.2N 29.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 9.8N 33.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 10.2N 37.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 10.5N 41.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 10.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.2N 52.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 12.3N 57.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 13.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.3N 30.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
