Svr Wx threat April 1-April 2 2024

[andyhb]

Quite a bit of convection ongoing across OK and MO rn that I imagine will have a rather large impact on tomorrow's threat.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Quite a bit of convection ongoing across OK and MO rn that I imagine will have a rather large impact on tomorrow's threat.

Talking bout good way or a perhaps a bad way , ? Convection hurting the instability ? Or convection setting up outflow boundaries perhaps ..

 

[Former Member 1430]

Quite a bit of convection ongoing across OK and MO rn that I imagine will have a rather large impact on tomorrow's threat.

Where would you expect this convection to track?

 

[NorthGaWeather]

CAM’s are great and can provide a good look at how the day may play out, but don’t get lost in run-to-run variations. Focus on the larger picture synoptically and how the setup should play out based on the background environment. Then work all failure modes and significant questions. I know this may be common sense to some, but I figured it should be repeated.

This setup has had high ceiling potential for a couple of days but also has a few failure modes for the northern threat areas and that hasn’t changed. The only thing that changed is that Norman went with the high ceiling forecast. It may play out or be modulated in the north. I figure it will be modulated to a degree…which is probably still a significant event.

To me, the southern threat area has a higher floor/lower ceiling with the QLCS and some semi-discrete mode.

 

[wx_guy]

Springfield MO is now under a SVR tagged as “Extremely Dangerous Situation” I’ve never seen that before. Almost like a SVR Emergency.

 

[KCweatherboy]

Tornado warning just west of Springfield, MO. Hope it doesn't drop anything

Edit: warning downgraded and wx_guy beat me to it lol

 

[andyhb]

Where would you expect this convection to track?

Towards the Ohio River and potentially getting rid of some of the northern target.

 

[TornadoFan]

Now there's an observed tornado heading towards the Springfield radar.

 

[wx_guy]

Observed tornado now moving into Springfield. Still under the EDS too.

 

[TornadoFan]

02Z HRRR shows plenty of moisture back in place by 17Z tomorrow.

 

[WesL]

Observed tornado now moving into Springfield. Still under the EDS too.

Going to be close to the radar up that way...

 

[wx_guy]

Not sure if being so close to the radar is affecting velocity scans, but I’m seeing multiple (4-6) areas approaching Springfield with 90-110 mph velocities. Scary for sure.

Edit: Those areas went right over the radar. Hope it survived it.

 

[Justin Hindman]

This is my outlook. I didn’t do a slight or marginal risk, but this is my greatest risk. I want to compare after the event from my to spc.

 

[WesL]

https://traveler.modot.org/map/ live cams from MoDOT
You will need to zoom in on Springfield
Turn Traffic Cameras on (on the left menu, you may have to scroll down)

Click to view. There are quite a few in the area near the airport which appears to be the right place to be watching.

 

[TH2002]

I've heard IT guys (who should as a rule know what they're talking about) routinely refer to printers in very disparaging fashion (one of the more polite descriptions that I've heard is "the interesting lovechildren of Unicorns and Zebras"). Make of that what you will...

If I didn't actually need to use printers every now and then, I'd take mine straight out to the desert and happily unload a couple hundred rounds of 22LR into it... but too bad society has made printers into a necessary evil. All I'm going to say about that.


**Totally Edited By Wes**

 

[TH2002]

Back to the weather, how is the threat looking for eastern West Virginia tomorrow? Definitely the beefiest threat I've seen for WV in quite some time. What effect is the ongoing convection going to have on the threat in that area?

 

[GeneralChow]

Possible tornado on the ground near Fair Grove, MO.



Tornado Damage from Barnsdall OK

 

[Former Member 1430]

For fun here is my thoughts… Slight is yellow, enhanced is orange, and red is Moderate. Lets see how this plays out.

 

[wx_guy]

Back to the weather, how is the threat looking for eastern West Virginia tomorrow? Definitely the beefiest threat I've seen for WV in quite some time. What effect is the ongoing convection going to have on the threat in that area?

Probably can’t know the finer details until 2-6 hours in advance.

 

[Justin Hindman]

Probably can’t know the finer details until 2-6 hours in advance.

For fun here is my thoughts… Slight is yellow, enhanced is orange, and red is Moderate. Let’s see how this plays out.You ho

For fun here is my thoughts… Slight is yellow, enhanced is orange, and red is Moderate. Lets see how this plays out.

Did you google the map to