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(Super) El Niño 2026-27

KakashiHatake2000 said:
There is some tropical storms in the Atlantic region the area that is below the gulf too I think the Caribbean
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The biggest effect of strong El Niño events is below-average Atlantic hurricane seasons. Usually, +ENSO shears out the Caribbean too hard for tropical systems to mature, and this seems likely to continue for the next couple of weeks at least.
 
“It’s possible no human in history has seen an event this strong” is extremely hyperbolic. There’s little doubt we’re heading into a very high end El Niño at this point, but there’s virtually a 0% chance that this will be the strongest since the beginning of humans being around, that’s just a completely ridiculous statement.
 
slenker said:
“It’s possible no human in history has seen an event this strong” is extremely hyperbolic. There’s little doubt we’re heading into a very high end El Niño at this point, but there’s virtually a 0% chance that this will be the strongest since the beginning of humans being around, that’s just a completely ridiculous statement.
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I totally 100% agree with this statement!
 
slenker said:
“It’s possible no human in history has seen an event this strong” is extremely hyperbolic. There’s little doubt we’re heading into a very high end El Niño at this point, but there’s virtually a 0% chance that this will be the strongest since the beginning of humans being around, that’s just a completely ridiculous statement.
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Don’t know , records are made to be broken eventually
 
tennessee storm chaser said:
Don’t know , records are made to be broken eventually
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This isn’t a record to be broken because we have no idea how strong they can get; we don’t know what the strongest El Niño was in the entirety of human history. The strongest ones we’ve ever seen that we actually recorded are very unlikely to be the strongest Niños the Earth is capable of producing. Simple statistics favors this argument, you’re comparing the last ~160 years to the past 200,000. The odds of there being an El Niño stronger than anything we’ve seen in the 200k year timeframe compared to the times of us actually recording them is essentially 100%.
 
akt1985 said:
Of course if we see an uptick in tornadoes in Dixie Alley with this El Niño, the real question is, will we see an F5/EF-5 like during the El Niño of 1997-1998, or will the damage surveyors be conservative with an EF-4 as the highest rating given when it should really be an EF-5?
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F5? They didn't bring that back did they?
Who knows, it may be upgraded like ND. Hopefully any tornados that form will touched down in open fields.
 
slenker said:
This isn’t a record to be broken because we have no idea how strong they can get; we don’t know what the strongest El Niño was in the entirety of human history. The strongest ones we’ve ever seen that we actually recorded are very unlikely to be the strongest Niños the Earth is capable of producing. Simple statistics favors this argument, you’re comparing the last ~160 years to the past 200,000. The odds of there being an El Niño stronger than anything we’ve seen in the 200k year timeframe compared to the times of us actually recording them is essentially 100%.
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Well ok, so we don't know ALL of the El Niños of the last 6,000 years, but we know what we have recorded and I think that is what people are going by. So how about strongest El Niño ever recorded?

A while back I said don't be surprised when the earth continues to do things it never has before and I think I got chewed out for it, but now look :(

Will be praying for those that will be involved.
 
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