Severe Weather Threat - October 18th/19th 2025

[KakashiHatake2000]

stay safe jpwx and everybody

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

It's thinking about it. Angle has intensified for the past several scans.
View attachment 47544

It's considering it VERY HARD as of latest scan.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

north mississippi weather is live tracking posssible rotation clancy might have picked up on

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

The two best areas of tornado potential currently in Mississippi.

 

[Clancy]

The two best areas of tornado potential currently in Mississippi.

Yeah, the Holly Bluff storm has the potential to make a one-and-done spinup. Even though it doesn't look particularly capable, sometimes line segments like these manage to produce very small and compact but nonetheless tornadogenic mesocyclones. Silver City's is more worrying in how large and well-established it is, but sometimes these little ones worry me more.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Yeah, the Holly Bluff storm has the potential to make a one-and-done spinup. Even though it doesn't look particularly capable, sometimes line segments like these manage to produce very small and compact but nonetheless tornadogenic mesocyclones. Silver City's is more worrying in how large and well-established it is, but sometimes these little ones worry me more.
View attachment 47547

Yeah, I've seen this type of signature too many times in the same area and a lot of times, it ends in a QLCS spinup

 

[Clancy]

Might be a tornado in-development over Holly Bluff.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Might be a tornado in-development over Holly Bluff.
View attachment 47548

I'd probably put a warning on this. Two tight, little couplets, enough for at least a weak tornado to drop. Better safe then sorry

 

[Clancy]

I'd probably put a warning on this. Two tight, little couplets, enough for at least a weak tornado to drop. Better safe then sorry

Didn't even register for me until now, but Yazoo is in the path.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Yazoo city Ms, twin rots that have picked up via embeded sup

 

[Clancy]

Didn't even register for me until now, but Yazoo is in the path.
View attachment 47549

Inflow notch is visible, and this segment has jutted eastward by at least a few miles versus the rest of the line over just a few scans.

Edit: This portion of the segment has taken over and is the dominant meso now.

 

[Kds86z]

Good to see you @Clancy with your live analysis. Helpful

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Going to call it a night soon for me, (3:30am here in Ireland, with strong wind gusts and rain in my area too, this week will be pretty horrific for rain and wind LOL) but will continue to monitor this embedded supercell for a brief tornado threat in the short term. Trying very hard

 

[Kds86z]

Going to call it a night soon for me, (3:30am here in Ireland, with strong wind gusts and rain in my area too, this week will be pretty horrific for rain and wind LOL) but will continue to monitor this embedded supercell for a brief tornado threat in the short term. Trying very hard

Night and shocker.. rain in Ireland

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Quick little graphic I made showing the orientation of these line segments. The top two are going fairly outflow dominant and all likely produce damaging winds N the short term. The southern one is favourably oriented to the shear vectors leading for tornadogenesis to be more easy within this area.

 

[Clancy]

Yazoo storm is now Tornado-warned.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Night and shocker.. rain in Ireland

Story of our country but hopefully eying some exciting wind gusts. Tonight has been satisfying to watch unfold with the heavy rain. I'll hold on for a bit more before bed LOL

 

[Kds86z]

Yazoo city tor..

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Oh wow, tor, with Yazoo in the dead center.....

 

[joshoctober16]

not again , if one forms its going to hit yazoo city ... again.