Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

[Clancy]

Roosevelt and Mountain View storms are particularly concerning.

 

[SmokeEater]

From OUN: A Tale of Two Hodographs: For whatever reason today, the environment just ahead of the dryline (currently shown on the FDR VAD) has shown a tendency toward veered near-surface winds, which is leading to a much less-favorable hodograph structure than further east in the warm sector (shown on the TLX VAD). This has likely tempered our tornado risk closer to the dryline throughout the day and explains why some of the more impactful tornadic circulations occurred well into the warm sector (what we saw in Garfield County, the tornado in WFO Tulsa's area a bit ago).

 

[Kds86z]

I used to live in Owasso, OK. My roommate was from Bartlesville and a couple friends. I have a buddy who works with some guys from barnsdal

 

[Brice W]

Hook south of Guthrie.

They’re getting dumped with rain don’t be surprised to see some flash flood warnings soon.

 

[warneagle]

Damage at Barnsdall

 

[SilentShadow87]

Two reported deaths in Barnsdall.

 

[MMWX]

High winds west of Cashion, Oklahoma. Unsure whether or not it is rotating though.

 

[172556]

Hook south of Guthrie.

Well defined and still unwarned.

 

[treypops]

New Tornado Watch for OK and AR. 70/50 tornado probs.

Much farther east from the high risk area

 

[Fred Gossage]

Why are the probabilities lower on this latest tornado watch if this is supposed to be the main event?

If you're talking about the very recent tornado watch for east/southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas, that's because the watch is off to the east of the HIGH/MDT Risk areas and east of the higher threat zone for the higher-end tornado risk.

 

[Maxis_s]

Mountain View storm already has echo tops of 49kft. Wow.

 

[Thanksgivingbrown]

Why are the probabilities lower on this latest tornado watch if this is supposed to be the main event?

That watch is further east from the high risk area

 

[Clancy]

SVR now for the Mountain View storm.

 

[treypops]

That watch is further east from the high risk area

Those probabilities are still impressive though.

 

[Maxis_s]

How is the storm east of Seward not tornado warned?

 

[joshoctober16]

where in the world is the tornado warning for north east of oklahoma city???

 

[Clancy]

Impressive structure. Storms along this line have been well-behaved for the last hour or two due to some cool air, but yeah, that could probably use a TOR.

 

[MMWX]

Storm SW of Meridian needs a TOR asap.

 

[Clancy]

Severe damage in Barnsdall.

 

[Evan]

Mountain View storm already has echo tops of 49kft. Wow.

It is starting to organize better and get a little bit of rotation started. Obviously, SVR warned as well now.