Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

[KCweatherboy]

The event is over for the northwest third of the high risk. The middle third is a massive blob of storms. We’ll see what the southeast third does.

Yeah... that's why they shrunk the high risk at the 01z update and still kept the rest of it... Seems to be a long night ahead as these cells continually ramp up

 

[TH2002]

South Dakota has entered the chat

 

[SmokeEater]

From OUN: As storms congeal into a line, the hail threat is diminishing. However, this will not have much effect on the tornado threat.

 

[SilentShadow87]

Abilene, KS under a TOR

Another town that can't seem to catch a break.

 

[Clancy]

Curious as to what's causing these aliasing issues on velocity, especially since they've been persistently visible on both KVNX and KTLX.

 

[TornadoFan]

Some of those cells ahead of the line are taking on that bean shape.

 

[notsoencrypted]

Oh jeez, Sioux Falls area? Now I have to pay attention for friends and family

Also looks like a tornado warning between Lincoln and Omaha.

 

[TH2002]

TOR pointed directly at the western Omaha metro. Almost the same area that was hit on April 26.

 

[cincywx]

Curious as to what's causing these aliasing issues on velocity, especially since they've been persistently visible on both KVNX and KTLX.
View attachment 26548

My guess is the amount or intensity of precip + its location relative to the radar

 

[Clancy]

Storm on top of Fairfax is probably the one to watch in the near-term in the OWS.

 

[TH2002]

TOR for Westmoreland again.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Yeah... that's why they shrunk the high risk at the 01z update and still kept the rest of it... Seems to be a long night ahead as these cells continually ramp up

They actually expanded the high risk as well as shrinking it

 

[wx_guy]

Extension to PDS watch coming.

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 664

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[Clancy]

Tremendous increase in STP values this past hour.

 

[southmdwatcher]

It makes sense....there are new open warm sector supercells developing out in front of the previous storms.

 

[notsoencrypted]

Another SD/MN tornado warning just east of Sioux Falls.

Ope, and a tiny sliver of IA.

 

[TH2002]

TOR warned cells in KS are starting to hook.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

I get the northern half of Oklahoma staying high but I don’t see anything else developing that’s going to be anywhere near the metro

 

[Clancy]

I get the northern half Oklahoma staying high but I don’t see anything else developing that’s going to be anywhere near the metro

Modelling had fairly consistently depicted delayed but aggressive development across SW OK a few hours after the current storms; I'm guessing that's what they are banking on.

 

[jiharris0220]

I get the northern half Oklahoma staying high but I don’t see anything else developing that’s going to be anywhere near the metro

The hrrr has a second segment of cells developing at 12.