Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

[Clancy]

Seems like it did a very quick meso handoff near Dundee.

 

[172556]

Waffle Houses are closed in OKC apparently.

Red on the Waffle House Index

 

[brianc33710]

I kind of lean against a 45% given the storms spotty nature. If there aren't many storms the chances of getting 2 tornadoes within 25 mi drop.

 

[MichelleH]

Had to step away for a bit and I give up on trying to catch up. Whew.

 

[TH2002]

Meanwhile in Tennessee, the Leipers Fork cell is still spinning but its current path should at least take it south of Murfreesboro. Also, the mini-supercell that popped up near Woodbury has me concerned.

 

[warneagle]

I kind of lean against a 45% given the storms spotty nature. If there aren't many storms the chances of getting 2 tornadoes within 25 mi drop.

Yeah I don’t really think it’s necessary at this point. 30% seems adequate.

 

[Tempestas Tonitrua]

That dryline is unzipping

 

[Muwx]

Yeah I don’t really think it’s necessary at this point. 30% seems adequate.

There's pretty much no chance it gets upgraded this late in the game. There really is no point in continuing the 45% discussion.

 

[TH2002]

Meso on the Woodward cell now.

 

[TornadoFan]

Meso on the Woodward cell now.

Yeah that's what I've been hearing on the KOCO stream.

 

[TH2002]

So begins The March of the Supercells™ across Oklahoma...

 

[OHWX97]

 

[Todd]

If these supercells that form congeal into a line, will that lower the number of tornadoes that race across KS/OK?

 

[TornadoFan]

Decent wallcloud on the Mooreland, OK storm.

 

[Tanner]

Meso on the Woodward cell now.

Yes, there is. It developed within the last few scans. This is happening guys.

 

[TH2002]

That's... quite the hook near Croft, KS

 

[warneagle]

If these supercells that form congeal into a line, will that lower the number of tornadoes that race across KS/OK?

In theory yes but that’s not expected to happen in the high risk area until well after dark. The cells in Kansas should go more linear early on, but they’ve stayed fairly discrete so far.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

So begins The March of the Supercells™ across Oklahoma...

They will be like cheerleaders doing a dance with pom poms.

 

[jiharris0220]

Cap has weakened substantially in western parts of Oklahoma.