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Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

TH2002 said:
Huh. I guess the twitter weenies are for once holding off until the event actually begins...

Based on the fact that I would never expect people on twitter to actually act reasonable...
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Can’t one reasonably argue that the northern portion of the 30%, over S KS/N OK, has high Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency-potential due to linear forcing?
 
Casuarina Head said:
Can’t one reasonably argue that the northern portion of the 30%, over S KS/N OK, has high Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency-potential due to linear forcing?
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One can argue as such without screeching in all caps and misspelling nearly every word they type...

But anyhow, back on topic.
 
SmokeEater said:
From OUN: Something interesting to note on storm mode: HRRR/RAP bulk shear vectors (0-6km) are predominantly perpendicular to the dryline into the evening for areas generally along/south of I-40 with vectors more parallel across northern Oklahoma. This would favor more of a linear storm mode up north and discrete mode across central.
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That’s consistent with what the CAMs have shown and what the SPC discussions have predicted.
 
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