Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[DanLarsen34]

It seems like multiple high profile chasers were frustrated with the early portion of the event and either called it or were ready to when then the Greensburg cell initiated and became surface based.

Brad Arnold mentioned on stream last night that he booked a hotel in OKC for that reason only to end up on the southern KS cell until it died. Reed and his team called it early as well

 

[jiharris0220]

It seems like multiple high profile chasers were frustrated with the early portion of the event and either called it or were ready to when then the Greensburg cell initiated and became surface based.

Brad Arnold mentioned on stream last night that he booked a hotel in OKC for that reason only to end up on the southern KS cell until it died. Reed and his team called it early as well

Speaking of which.

 

[rushdude]

This theme is going to be stuck in my head today because I have a feeling that the models are underselling for N TX and it's matter of wait-and-see.

Hopefully nothing happens

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This theme is going to be stuck in my head today because I have a feeling that the models are underselling for N TX and it's matter of wait-and-see.

Hopefully nothing happens

Oh those where the days. Get out of 6th grade and go home and play cod black ops zombies with my friends. That music brought back some core memories haha

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Do you think MDT will be extended south? Models have been going up for a threat in the DFW metroplex

 

[Jbop]

Do you think MDT will be extended south? Models have been going up for a threat in the DFW metroplex

The best dynamics are north of DFW. DFW is more of a dryline hit or miss scenario

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

The best dynamics are north of DFW. DFW is more of a dryline hit or miss scenario

Hopefully it misses.

 

[Jbop]

Hopefully it misses.

David covers it pretty well with this video

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Cell south of DFW, If I am not mistaken, that is rotation? Wow...

 

[Kds86z]

What is intense? Violent? They have used this wording recently. Strong is ef2-3. Is intense a new way of saying violent? lol. Trey will say it also , “strong to intense”

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

David covers it pretty well with this video

David is my favorite source of info. I like how it is clear, not overly complex for viewers who aren't meteorologically inclined, and doesn't promote the 'hype' that causes panic.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

What is intense? Violent? They have used this wording recently. Strong is ef2-3. Is intense a new way of saying violent? lol. Trey will say it also , “strong to intense”

Strong is EF2-3. Intense is EF3-4. Violent is EF4-5

 

[Aaron Rider]

EF-5s either exist or they don't. We can't continue with Schrödinger's EF-5 at this point.

I firmly believe EF-5s exist. This is an all-time obvious call.

We'll have to wait and see if it's actually obvious or not, but I agree with you in spirit and Schrödinger's EF5 is an all-time genius comparison that made me laugh pretty hard.

I saw that Marion, Illinois got the 190 MPH EF4 rating...

 

[Kds86z]

Strong is EF2-3. Intense is EF3-4. Violent is EF4-5

Thanks @UncleJuJu98

 

[jiharris0220]

What is intense? Violent? They have used this wording recently. Strong is ef2-3. Is intense a new way of saying violent? lol. Trey will say it also , “strong to intense”

 

[Pbrussell]

Did anyone grab any good reflectivity scans last evening? There’s velocity scans out the whazoo in the thread but I neglected to snap any of reflectivity. I was in and out of sleep and too busy scratching my head over what was happening to remember to get some

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 42515

Thanks just wondered if intense was a less scary way of saying violent lol.

 

[Clancy]

Feeling like after looking at some
Latest data. Tuesday 20 th may needs its own thread …. Separate these events .

Seconded on this. We're at 94 pages already.

The really high SCP and STP for tommorow evening/night line up perfectly with the SPC 10% hatched tornado risk I think. If the method that broyles uses for tornado outbreaks with the jet streak thing we could be in for a long evening tomorrow. Curious to see further discussions on tommorow.

View attachment 42500View attachment 42501

Woof, who needs morning coffee when you've got that.

 

[MichelleH]

Just saw the request for making tomorrow it's own thread. I agree. Give me a minute. It's already looking bad, so I don't think me making the thread will make it any worse. Right? Right?!!? I'm not going back and moving all the posts relating to tomorrow, so it will be from going forward. Except I'll move the above post I just made.

Severe Weather Threat May 20-21

Making a separate thread for Tuesday-Wednesday since the other thread is already quite long. Please post all info regarding tomorrow and Wednesday in this thread. Thank you!

talkweather.com

 

[Kds86z]

Go time..