Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Kds86z]

..

 

[cincywx]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0870
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0927 PM CDT SUN MAY 18 2025

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 287...291...

VALID 190227Z - 190330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 287, 291 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A HIGHLY FAVORABLE AND LOCALIZED TORNADO CORRIDOR IS
EVIDENT IN PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS.

DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED AT THE NOSE OF THE
STRONG/EXTREME SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY OVER SOUTHWEST KS. HERE,
THE VNX/DDC VWPS ARE SAMPLING A 40-50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET -- WHICH IS
CONTRIBUTING TO 350-400 M2/S2 0-500M SRH. THIS VERY HIGH HELICITY
AND STRONG/EXTREME INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR A LOCALIZED CORRIDOR FOR
TORNADOES -- SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG/INTENSE IF STORMS CAN
REMAIN SURFACE-BASED.

..WEINMAN.. 05/19/2025

 

[Kds86z]

 

[AJS]

Greensburg, please be on high alert.

 

[Tennie]

GR2 is showing an NROT reading of 2.63 on the Kiowa Co., KS, cell:

 

[jiharris0220]

Greensburg is in the path because why wouldn’t it be.

 

[TornadoFan]

STP in that area is up to a 12. Yikes.

 

[SmokeEater]

It's down, PDS....

 

[Tanner]

Shade of 2007, 2008, and 2012.

 

[Maxis_s]

Violent tornado is possible, if not likely. I don't want to see a repeat. Please.

 

[Sluggerwx]

This cell has its own MCD, and it feels like we see that with some higher end tornadoes. I mean that happens a handful of times per year.

 

[Muwx]

A night time, northward occluding wedge in Kiowa county. History repeats itself

 

[Tennie]

I should be going to bed right now, but perhaps it's best if I wait until this storm misses the towns in its path.

 

[cincywx]

KSC097-190245-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0007.000000T0000Z-250519T0245Z/
Kiowa KS-
930 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTY...

At 929 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 10 miles northwest of Wilmore, moving northeast at 40 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

[AJS]

Greensburg now in a PDS…

 

[snostorm21]

Storm looks to be heading more northward. Please get underground in Greensburg.

 

[DanLarsen34]

It’s early, but this storm is behaving VERY similarly to the 2007 Greensburg cell. I’m very concerned that Greensburg is about to get hit by a violent tornado

 

[rushdude]

Texas storms trying something again..

 

[TornadoFan]

Starting to occlude.

 

[Pbrussell]

Good grief that thing got violent in a hurry. Like a bomb went off. This isn’t good