Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Kds86z]

Moving 65mph..

 

[AJS]

Watching this dry line storm very closely.

 

[Kds86z]

New warning for southern storm.

 

[ColdFront]

It’s in an area of almost nil low level shear, that’s going to change in the coming hours and as it travels off to the northeast.

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

What do yall think about the southward extent of this event?

 

[vanni9283]

Out of curiosity, does anybody have any radar data that shows how high the debris was lofted in the Plevna storm from last night?

 

[ColdFront]

Oklahoma really needs to watch this one. The fact there wasn’t as much convection from earlier, and if the forcing doesn’t overconvect and cause a messy storm mode, these storms will have plenty of parameters to work with.

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

What do yall think about the southward extent of this event?

It looks like it’s possible North TX will be spared? Or am I not correct.

 

[Kds86z]

Oklahoma really needs to watch this one. The fact there wasn’t as much convection from earlier, and if the forcing doesn’t overconvect and cause a messy storm mode, these storms will have plenty of parameters to work with.

@ColdFront

 

[Jbop]

It looks like it’s possible North TX will be spared? Or am I not correct.

Think it's to early to tell due to keeping an eye on the dryline. Also, looks like most the action so far is south and north/north west of DFW.

Pretty much a split right now

 

[AJS]

I genuinely wouldn’t be surprised if this tornado was 2 miles wide or more at its peak size.

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Something trying to go up west of Palo Pinto TX

 

[Tennie]

There are currently a couple dozen Severe Thunderstorm Warnings on the board (four of them Considerable), but no Tornado Warnings. Let's see how long it takes for that to change...

 

[ColdFront]

Rush springs supercell seems to be close to the boundary. Also structure is improving.

 

[AJS]

Rush springs supercell seems to be close to the boundary. Also structure is improving.

View attachment 42582

Yeah, that was the cell that originated south of Duncan, OK. Definitely looks to be organizing and getting better structure.

 

[Jbop]

https://x.com/NWSFortWorth
@NWSFortWorth
·
3h


A WFO Fort Worth storm survey team has confirmed an EF-1 tornado in and near the City of Gordon in southern Palo Pinto County, in association with last night's storms. Estimated peak winds of 105 mph. Other surveys ongoing. #txwx

 

[TornadoFan]

Rush Springs storm is taking more of a northerly track.

 

[AJS]

Not liking the towns/cities in the path of the storm if this thing decides do it.

 

[Tennie]

Rush Springs storm is taking more of a northerly track.

It's possible it may even interact with the dryline. What kinds of effects that could have currently remain to be seen.

 

[TheSuckZone]