Severe WX Severe Weather Threat June 19-24

[Kds86z]

HUN has found two tornado tracks from Monday evening in New Market. I imagine that blue track was a satellite of the green???



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Thank you for posting! I did see this but forgot to.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

That dry slot and warm nose aloft at 500mb always seems to be a common feature in these setups. Sometimes they don't work and other times they do. Will have to see.

(from yearly thread)

14Z HRRR now introduces a nice southeastward-moving supercell with stout UH from Iowa into Green Counties, WI. Might turn out a bit like the "Independence Day Mothership" of 2022 (the chase where I pulled in behind Vince Waelti and Brandon Copic's Radar Omega/Ryan Hall Y'all-wrapped vehicles).

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Found the cherry-picked sounding with just enough SRH coupled with that level of 3CAPE to trip a "TOR" hazard.