Severe Weather Threat 4/28-4/30

[UncleJuJu98]

Storm near Manhattan Kansas still looks impressive

 

[AJS]

Looks like the storm in Kansas is starting to really form a mesocyclone.

That storm is so big I can’t even tell what it’s doing on radar.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Looks like the storm in Kansas is starting to really form a mesocyclone.

Yeah velocities really picking up

 

[TornadoFan]

Albert Lea storm.

 

[snostorm21]

Um wheres the warning.

 

[Tennie]

Um wheres the warning.View attachment 40640

Surface winds in that area are out of the northwest, and dewpoint depressions are exceeding 20 degrees Fahrenheit. I doubt that cell will actually be able to produce a tornado in that environment.

 

[TornadoFan]

That storm near Altus, OK really split nicely.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Can't remember the last time I've seen purple in reflectivity

 

[Tennie]

That's from yesterday's storm.

Regardless, I'm not surprised by the relatively low rating, given the relative lack of damage indicators that could've revealed the storm's true strength. If it had gone over a heavily built-up area, the rating would've almost certainly been higher (but then again there would also have been significant property damage and casualties, so it's best that that monster stayed out in open countryside...).

 

[Tennie]

Huh? I know it’s from yesterdays storm lmao ..smh

I wasn't sure if you posted it to the wrong thread. *Shrug*

 

[Muwx]

Some surprise storms going up in extreme NE OK. I assume those die out but models didn’t indicate that at all

 

[Kds86z]

My motto is - never expect anything. Specially when it comes to weather.

 

[notsoencrypted]

I did but more people are active here then severe thread.

It's useful to keep things in the correct thread for when folks in the future come and read these threads. Folks will see it there, too.

 

[jiharris0220]

Very underwhelming event for the time being thankfully.

The surface wind vector being directional to the LLJ is causing almost every supercell along the dryline to be outflow dominant.

Couple this and the PBL wind vector having parallel orientation with the jet streak, which is responsible for the immediate upscale/linear convective mode.

The moderate risk is most certainly going to be a dud regarding tornadoes, will have to see what the cells in Kansas down to Texas manage to pull off as the LLJ begins its post diurnal ramp up.

 

[tornado examiner]

That day 3 moderate was never warranted when you think about it.

 

[DanLarsen34]

We’ve got some new cells that just initiated in SE Nebraska. Those could be a factor for Iowa and Missouri over the next couple of hours.

 

[TornadoFan]

That day 3 moderate was never warranted when you think about it.

It was.

 

[Tennie]

Very underwhelming event for the time being thankfully.

The surface wind vector being directional to the LLJ is causing almost every supercell along the dryline to be outflow dominant.

Couple this and the PBL wind vector having parallel orientation with the jet streak, which is responsible for the immediate upscale/linear convective mode.

The moderate risk is most certainly going to be a dud regarding tornadoes, will have to see what the cells in Kansas down to Texas manage to pull off as the LLJ begins its post diurnal ramp up.

Personally, I'm glad that things ended up underperforming, especially given that I have relatives who live near Minneapolis.

That day 3 moderate was never warranted when you think about it.

I dunno about that. There's always the chance that things could've played out quite differently today, and it just so happened that (in some kind of "Schroedinger's Cat"-type of way, perhaps?) things played out the way they did in the timeline we live in.

 

[tornado examiner]

Like has there been a single confirmed tornado today so far?

 

[Kds86z]